Result
3:0
26/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 33
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4P |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 9 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/395) | 78% (255/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/395) | 78% (255/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (35/66) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (54/82) | 65% (43/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Dragojevic V. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Erakovic S. ⚽, Katai A. (A),
- 36', Avdic A. 🟨,
- 38', Erakovic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 67', Katai A. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
- 67', Arnautovic M. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Avdic A. ⚽,
- 69', Ugresic O. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
- 70', Kostic B. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
- 80', Natcho B. 🟨,
- 80', Seck D. 🟨,
- 84', Elsnik T. 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 0, Seol Young-Woo ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
- 88', Vukotic M. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
- 89', Elsnik T. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
- 89', Milovanovic M. ↓, Petrovic S. ↑,
- 89', Kostov V. ↓, Saric D. ↑,
- 89', Erakovic S. ↓, Tiknizyan N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 73.6% | Draw 16.3% | Partizan 10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's performance.Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.25 ↓ (1.42) |
5.56 ↑ (4.68) |
9.36 ↑ (5.92) |
8.4% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Partizan will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 4.
- Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Partizan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Partizan?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Partizan has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan were as follows:
22.02.2026
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
3:0
20.09.2025
Partizan
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
1:2
12.04.2025
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
2:1
22.02.2025
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Partizan
3:3
23.09.2024
Partizan
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
0:4
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Latest results of Partizan
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 64:43 | 21 | 65 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:34 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )