Result
2:7
10/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/351) | 85% (413/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 3.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/351) | 85% (413/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (101/137) | 73% (88/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.16 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.84 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 31', 0 - 1, Milosevic J. ⚽, Seck D. (A),
- 38', 0 - 2, Natcho B. ⚽, Stojkovic A. (A),
- 40', 0 - 3, Kostic B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 4)
- 46', Cubra D. ↓, Ignjatovic U. ↑,
- 46', Hajdin S. ↓, Bogdanovski N. ↑,
- 46', Bubanj M. ↓, Drobnjak L. ↑,
- 46', Milosevic J. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
- 52', Karabelyov Y. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 3, Majdevac A. ⚽, Ignjatovic U. (A),
- 54', 2 - 3, Majdevac A. ⚽, Toseski M. (A),
- 57', 2 - 4, Kostic B. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 5, Kostic A. ⚽, Jurcevic M. (A),
- 65', Milic S. ↓, Djurdjevic V. ↑,
- 65', Seck D. ↓, Trifunovic N. ↑,
- 66', Dragojevic V. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
- 75', Toseski M. ↓, Vulic M. ↑,
- 77', Natcho B. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 6, Kostic A. ⚽, Ugresic O. (A),
- 86', Majdevac A. ↓, Skocajic D. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 7, Djurdjevic V. ⚽, Zahid G. (A),
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
28.4% | Draw
27.4% | Partizan
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napredak Kruševac's performance.Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napredak Kruševac that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Partizan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Napredak Kruševac - Partizan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(4.3) |
3.37 ↓
(3.8) |
2.1 ↑
(1.75) |
8.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - Partizan?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Napredak will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Partizan will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizan: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Partizan (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1.
- Napredak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Partizan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Napredak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Partizan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Partizan?
Napredak Kruševac has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Napredak Kruševac?
Partizan has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Partizan were as follows:
24.11.2024
Partizan
-
Napredak Kruševac
0:0
19.07.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Partizan
0:1
08.05.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Partizan
3:3
13.03.2024
Partizan
-
Napredak Kruševac
0:1
01.10.2023
Napredak Kruševac
-
Partizan
0:2
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of Partizan
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Partizan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | TSC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Mladost | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Radnicki Nis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Radnik | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sp. Subotica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | OFK Beograd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Napredak | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | Javor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
