Pasaia vs Lagun Onak – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (1 - 1)

Chances of winning


Pasaia
31.1%
Draw
28.6%
Lagun Onak
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 28.4% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 27.2% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Pasaia - Lagun Onak Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.59)
    3.19
    (3.2)
    2.27
    (2.5)
    9.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pasaia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pasaia - Lagun Onak were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Lagun Onak - Pasaia 0:0
    14.12.2024 Pasaia - Lagun Onak 3:3
    27.01.2024 Pasaia - Lagun Onak 0:1
    09.09.2023 Lagun Onak - Pasaia 2:1
    11.03.2023 Lagun Onak - Pasaia 2:6
    Latest results of Pasaia
    07.03.2026 Deusto - Pasaia 1:0
    28.02.2026 Pasaia - Portugalete 1:1
    22.02.2026 San Ignacio - Pasaia 0:2
    14.02.2026 Pasaia - Derio 0:3
    07.02.2026 Touring KE - Pasaia 1:1
    Latest results of Lagun Onak
    07.03.2026 Zarautz KE - Lagun Onak 1:1
    28.02.2026 Lagun Onak - Deusto 0:0
    22.02.2026 Portugalete - Lagun Onak 3:0
    14.02.2026 Lagun Onak - San Ignacio 0:1
    07.02.2026 Derio - Lagun Onak 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete27214258:174167
    2Leioa27164740:251552
    3Touring KE27138636:261047
    4Lagun Onak27144941:261546
    5Derio27144945:311446
    6Aurrera de Vitoria27144935:31446
    7Alaves C27126944:311342
    8San Ignacio27126927:20742
    9UD Aretxabaleta271151144:44038
    10Durango2799929:28136
    11Real Sociedad C271131329:35-636
    12Santurtzi277101027:35-831
    13Pasaia27771320:32-1228
    14Eibar C27761430:43-1327
    15Anorga27831626:49-2327
    16Zamudio27751528:43-1526
    17Zarautz KE27641722:50-2822
    18SD Deusto27461718:33-1521

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation