Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26
Chances of winning
Pasaia 31.1% | Draw 28.6% | Lagun Onak 40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Pasaia - Lagun Onak Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.93 ↑ (2.59) |
3.19 ↓ (3.2) |
2.27 ↓ (2.5) |
9.6% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pasaia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pasaia won against Lagun Onak?
Pasaia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagun Onak won against Pasaia?
Lagun Onak has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pasaia - Lagun Onak were as follows:
26.04.2025
Lagun Onak
-
Pasaia
0:0
14.12.2024
Pasaia
-
Lagun Onak
3:3
27.01.2024
Pasaia
-
Lagun Onak
0:1
09.09.2023
Lagun Onak
-
Pasaia
2:1
11.03.2023
Lagun Onak
-
Pasaia
2:6
Latest results of Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation