Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/429) | 79% (251/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/429) | 79% (251/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/121) | 63% (47/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Panya E. ⚽, Doi T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', De Bruycker D. ↓, Yaidee K. ↑,
- 56', Doi T. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
- 56', Tongkiri C. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
- 64', Pombuppha C. ↓, Conrado ↑,
- 64', Panya E. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 69', Yaidee K. 🟨,
- 75', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
- 82', Kaman K. 🟨,
- 86', Biaothungoi P. ↓, Booncharee K. ↑,
- 90+1', Worasut N. ↓, Dechmitr S. ↑,
- 90+1', Diego Carioca ↓, Laptrakul C. ↑,
- 90+7', Laptrakul C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pathum United
56.6% | Draw
23.4% | Ayutthaya United
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pathum United's form might have worsened.Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayutthaya United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pathum United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayutthaya United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pathum United - Ayutthaya United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.4) |
3.96 ↓
(4.83) |
4.6 ↓
(6.32) |
8.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pathum United - Ayutthaya United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Pathum United is the team to beat.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Ayutthaya United?
Pathum United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Pathum United?
Ayutthaya United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Ayutthaya United were as follows:
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Port MTI FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:6 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Prachuap | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Muang Thong Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Sukhothai | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ayutthaya Utd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Kanchanaburi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Chonburi | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
