Pohang Steelers vs Pathum United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.390.74
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
86% (425/494)76% (219/289)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
3.390.74
xG on target (xGOT)
3.100.54
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
116
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3410
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
138
Passes
86% (425/494)76% (219/289)
Long passes
69% (37/54)37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
78% (94/121)69% (46/67)
Crosses
23% (7/31)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.80
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
813
Tackles
47% (9/19)76% (19/25)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
1235
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.543.10
Goals prevented
0.541.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Shin Kwang-Hoon 🟨,
  • 37', Jorge Teixeira 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Lee Ho-Jae , Shin Kwang-Hoon (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', N'Diaye S. , Ose T. ,
  • 46', Emaviwe J. , Panya E. ,
  • 53', Han Hyeon-Seo , Kim Dong-Jin ,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Lee Ho-Jae , da Rocha Junior J. (A),
  • 69', An J. , Baek Sung-Dong ,
  • 69', Shin Kwang-Hoon , Jeon Min-kwang ,
  • 70', Raniel , Doi T. ,
  • 70', Kaman K. , Songkrasin C. ,
  • 80', Jorge Teixeira , Cho Sang-Hyeok ,
  • 80', Lee Ho-Jae , Park S. ,
  • 80', Park Seung-Wook 🟨,
  • 86', Cho Sang-Hyeok 🟨,
  • 89', Tongkiri C. , Yooyen S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/53wrxetn

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pohang Steelers
63.5%
Draw
22.2%
Pathum United
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 27.3% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 30.4% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pohang Steelers's performance.
  • Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pathum United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pohang Steelers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pathum United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pohang Steelers - Pathum United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.82)
    4.23
    (3.41)
    6.57
    (4.29)
    6.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pohang Steelers - Pathum United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pohang (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Pohang (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Pohang Steelers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pohang (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Pohang is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pohang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pohang Steelers - Pathum United were as follows:
    18.09.2025 Pathum United - Pohang Steelers 0:1
    Latest results of Pohang Steelers
    Latest results of Pathum United
    22.11.2025 Ratchaburi - Pathum United 0:0
    09.11.2025 Pathum United - Rayong FC 1:1
    06.11.2025 Pathum United - Kaya 2:1
    02.11.2025 Chonburi - Pathum United 1:2
    26.10.2025 Sukhothai - Pathum United 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al ZawraaAl Wasl2 : 4, 3 : 2
    2ArkadagAl Nassr0 : 1, 0 : 1
    3SepahanAl Ahli Doha0 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Esteghlal F.C.Al Hussein2 : 3, 0 : 1
    5PohangGamba Osaka1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6RatchaburiPersib Bandung0 : 1, 3 : 0
    7Bangkok UtdMacarthur FC2 : 2, 2 : 0
    8Cong An Ha NoiTampines1 : 3, 0 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Al WaslAl Nassr
    2Al Ahli DohaAl Hussein
    3Gamba OsakaRatchaburi
    4Bangkok UtdTampines

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2