Result
0:1
18/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
Turkey | D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1 |
Ukraine | Sport 1 |
Vietnam | FPT Play |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.93 | 0.56 |
Ball Possession |
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38% | 62% |
Total shots |
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10 | 16 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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0 | 4 |
Passes |
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88% (310/353) | 91% (523/572) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.93 | 0.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.10 | 0.65 |
Total shots |
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10 | 16 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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0 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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11 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 0 |
Offsides |
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4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 8 |
Passes |
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88% (310/353) | 91% (523/572) |
Long passes |
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69% (27/39) | 56% (27/48) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (40/57) | 82% (117/143) |
Crosses |
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20% (2/10) | 18% (4/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.77 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 4 |
Fouls |
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8 | 16 |
Tackles |
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33% (2/6) | 50% (3/6) |
Duels won |
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36 | 20 |
Clearances |
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19 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.65 | 0.10 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.35 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Aspropotamitis J. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Lee Dong-Hyeop ⚽, da Rocha Junior J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kaman K. ↓, Doi T. ↑,
- 57', Kang Hyeon-Je ↓, Cho Sang-Hyeok ↑,
- 57', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Kim In-Sung ↑,
- 59', Emaviwe J. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
- 59', Matheus Fornazari ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
- 60', Sareepim S. 🟨,
- 68', Baek Sung-Dong ↓, An J. ↑,
- 69', Panya E. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
- 75', Lee Chang-Woo ↓, Cho Jae-Hun ↑,
- 76', Kim Jong-Woo ↓, Hwang Seo-Woong ↑,
- 79', Wonggorn J. ↓, Pruetong T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/442rehf6
Chances of winning
Pathum United 39.7% | Draw 26.2% | Pohang Steelers 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pathum United's performance.Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pohang Steelers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pathum United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pohang Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pathum United - Pohang Steelers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↓ (2.8) |
3.54 ↓ (4.13) |
2.72 ↑ (2.07) |
7.8% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pathum United - Pohang Steelers?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Pathum United will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Pohang will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pathum United: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pohang (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Pathum United (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Pohang Steelers?
Pathum United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pohang Steelers won against Pathum United?
Pohang Steelers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Pohang Steelers were as follows:
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Pohang Steelers
AFC Champions League 2 Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Wasl | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 3 |
2 | Al-Muharraq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Al Wehdat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
4 | Esteghlal F.C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Andijan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
2 | Al Ahli Doha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Al Khalidiyah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Arkadag | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Hussein | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Ahal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Sepahan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
4 | Mohun Bagan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | Al Zawraa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Goa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
4 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tai Po | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Cong An Ha Noi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Nam Dinh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Eastern AA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
4 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bangkok Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Lion City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Persib Bandung | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Selangor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tampines | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Pohang | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
4 | Kaya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: )