Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/331) | 78% (288/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/331) | 78% (288/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (71/116) | 61% (63/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (15/15) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Raniel ⚽, Yooyen S. (A),
- 34', Takagi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Takagi Y. ↓, Tongkiri C. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Amornlerdsak A. ⚽, Ratree S. (A),
- 55', Sareepim S. ↓, Jamnongwat W. ↑,
- 55', Raniel ↓, Doi T. ↑,
- 58', Tongkiri C. ↓, Notsuda G. ↑,
- 63', Joao Afonso 🟨,
- 64', Amornlerdsak A. ↓, Ito R. ↑,
- 73', Matsuda R. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
- 80', Pongsuwan S. ↓, Kaminthong P. ↑,
- 80', Ratree S. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
- 82', Kaminthong P. 🟨,
- 82', Sontisawat S. 🟨,
- 90', Songkrasin C. 🟨,
- 90', Joao Afonso ↓, Aleman K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rayong FC
35.7% | Draw
28% | Pathum United
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayong FC's performance.Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pathum United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayong FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pathum United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rayong FC - Pathum United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(3.1) |
3.29 ↓
(3.68) |
2.53 ↑
(2.03) |
8.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
- Rayong FC is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pathum United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rayong FC has had a series of away games.
- Pathum United might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayong FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Pathum United?
Rayong FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Rayong FC?
Pathum United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rayong FC - Pathum United were as follows:
09.11.2025
Pathum United
-
Rayong FC
1:1
12.01.2025
Rayong FC
-
Pathum United
1:1
16.08.2024
Pathum United
-
Rayong FC
0:1
Latest results of Rayong FC
Latest results of Pathum United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
