Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (404/459) | 84% (381/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (404/459) | 84% (381/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (91/120) | 64% (67/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, bin Fandi Ahmad I. ⚽, Raniel (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, bin Fandi Ahmad I. ⚽,
- 40', Thiamrat L. ↓, Mhuaddarak T. ↑,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Otton C. ⚽, Gildo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', bin Fandi Ahmad I. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
- 46', Logarwit S. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
- 51', Claudio 🟨,
- 52', Sareepim S. 🟨,
- 61', Sareepim S. ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
- 62', Gildo ↓, Chatthong S. ↑,
- 67', Takagi Y. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
- 77', Barreto ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
- 85', Yooyen S. 🟨,
- 89', Choolthong W. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
- 90', Panya E. ↓, Gustavsson P. ↑,
- 90+5', Thumporn T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pathum United
69.8% | Draw
18.9% | Sukhothai
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Pathum United - Sukhothai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.4) |
4.83 ↑
(4.33) |
8.04 ↑
(6.99) |
9.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 3.
- Pathum United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sukhothai's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pathum United is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 3.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Sukhothai?
Pathum United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Pathum United?
Sukhothai has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Sukhothai were as follows:
26.10.2025
Sukhothai
-
Pathum United
3:1
27.04.2025
Pathum United
-
Sukhothai
4:4
10.08.2024
Sukhothai
-
Pathum United
1:3
09.03.2024
Pathum United
-
Sukhothai
7:1
07.10.2023
Sukhothai
-
Pathum United
1:2
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Sukhothai
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 69:23 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Bangkok Utd | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:36 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 26 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 32:43 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
