Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Thai League 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Thailand | AIS PLAY | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.13 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 41% | 59% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (210/266) | 86% (345/402) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.13 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.63 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 17 | 10 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (210/266) | 86% (345/402) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 49% (18/37) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 65% (50/77) | 69% (59/85) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 21% (3/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.37 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 64% (9/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 40 | 38 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 17 | 20 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.50 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.50 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Mangkualam A. 🟨, 
- 29', Sareepim S. 🟨, 
- 32', Choolthong W. 🟨, 
- 33', Perea B. (Pen), 
- 43', Sulaka R. 🟨, 
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Sareepim S. ⚽, Notsuda G. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Choolthong W. ↓, Sandokhadze N. ↑, 
- 58', 2 - 0, Sareepim S. ⚽, Songkrasin C. (A), 
- 60', Kaka Mendes 🟨, 
- 63', Sareepim S. ↓, Lopez J. ↑, 
- 63', Tongkiri C. ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑, 
- 64', Perea B. ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑, 
- 65', Kesarat T. ↓, Poeiphimai T. ↑, 
- 65', Kaka Mendes ↓, Kanitsribampen W. ↑, 
- 77', Mangkualam A. ↓, Buran C. ↑, 
- 77', Karin C. ↓, Matheus Pato ↑, 
- 88', Notsuda G. ↓, Tamma C. ↑, 
- 89', Doi T. ↓, Panya E. ↑, 
- 90+2', Sandokhadze N. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Pathum United 40%
 | Draw 24.7%
 | Thai Port 35.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Thai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (-2.3%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Pathum United - Thai Port Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.31 ↑ (2.25)
 | 3.73 ↓ (3.75)
 | 2.61 ↓ (2.78)
 | 8.6% (7.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 4.
- Pathum United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Port's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Thai Port?
                    
                    
                        
                            Pathum United has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Thai Port won against Pathum United?
                    
                    
                        
                             Thai Port has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Thai Port were as follows:
                                                        
                                09.02.2025 
                                Pathum United 
                                - 
                                Thai Port 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.09.2024 
                                Thai Port 
                                - 
                                Pathum United 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.05.2024 
                                Pathum United 
                                - 
                                Thai Port 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Pathum United 
                                - 
                                Thai Port 
                                1:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.12.2023 
                                Thai Port 
                                - 
                                Pathum United 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Pathum United                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Thai Port                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Buriram | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22:9 | 13 | 22 | 
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:12 | 6 | 20 | 
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 4 | Port MTI FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:6 | 12 | 16 | 
| 5 | Pathum United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 | 
| 6 | Chiangrai Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 | 
| 7 | Prachuap | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rayong FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 | 
| 9 | Sukhothai | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 10 | Muang Thong Utd | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 | 
| 11 | Chonburi | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 | 
| 12 | Ayutthaya Utd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 | 
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | 
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | 
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:25 | -11 | 6 | 
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2