Pato vs Bauru – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
61:69
15/12/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Rodrigues H. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5366
Field Goals Made
1924
Field Goals %
35.85%36.36%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2537
2-Point Field Goals Made
1216
2-Point Field Goals %
48%43.24%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2829
3-Point Field Goals Made
78
3-Point Field Goals %
25%27.59%
Free Throws Attempted
2018
Free Throws Made
1613
Free Throws %
80%72.2%
Offensive Rebounds
1213
Defensive Rebounds
3024
Total Rebounds
4237
Assists
917
Blocks
22
Turnovers
187
Steals
37
Personal Fouls
1419

Chances of winning


Pato
39.7%
Bauru
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Pato - Bauru Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.16)

    1.55
    (1.63)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 154.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Pato - Bauru?
  • Users Predictions: Pato will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pato will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bauru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Pato has had a series of away games.
    • Bauru will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pato won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1204:1313. (average 75.3:82.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 638:627. (average 79.8:78.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pato - Bauru were as follows:
    05.02.2025 Pato - Bauru 91:94
    13.12.2024 Bauru - Pato 97:91
    27.04.2024 Bauru - Pato 71:62
    21.04.2024 Pato - Bauru 74:93
    15.02.2024 Bauru - Pato 89:79
    Latest results of Pato
    09.12.2025 Rio Claro - Pato 101:109
    06.12.2025 Pato - Paulistano 67:59
    22.11.2025 São José dos Campos - Pato 86:71
    19.11.2025 Corinthians Paulista - Pato 87:68
    17.11.2025 Mogi - Pato 86:58
    Latest results of Bauru
    12.12.2025 Bauru - Mogi 62:58
    10.12.2025 Bauru - Corinthians Paulista 94:84
    03.12.2025 Bauru - São José dos Campos 84:91
    23.11.2025 Minas - Bauru 94:88
    20.11.2025 Basquete Cearense - Bauru 91:72
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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