Cruzeiro vs Pato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
89:81
19/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: de Moraes G. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5855
Field goals made
2830
Field goals %
48.28%54.55%
2-point field goals attempts
3232
2-point field goals made
1524
2-point field goals %
46.88%75%
3-point field goals attempts
2623
3-point field goals made
136
3-point field goals %
50%26.09%
Free throws attempts
2722
Free throws made
2015
Free throws %
74.1%68.2%
Offensive rebounds
157
Defensive rebounds
1920
Total rebounds
3427
Assists
2521
Blocks
08
Turnovers
1718
Steals
87
Personal fouls
2124

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
71.1%
Pato
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.
  • Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cruzeiro - Pato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.4)

    3.28
    (2.55)
    7.6%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 162.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Pato has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 71:69.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Pato were as follows:
    29.10.2025 Pato - Cruzeiro 69:71
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    29.12.2025 Basquete Cearense - Cruzeiro 78:86
    27.12.2025 Unifacisa - Cruzeiro 85:77
    23.12.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 79:75
    Latest results of Pato
    12.01.2026 Pato - União Corinthians 72:80
    09.01.2026 Pato - Caxias do Sul 85:91
    29.12.2025 Pato - Pinheiros 67:94
    23.12.2025 Brasília Basquete - Pato 84:69
    20.12.2025 Pato - Osasco 82:67
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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