Pato vs Rio Claro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
70:78
06/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBB

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6165
Field goals made
2324
Field goals %
37.7%36.92%
2-point field goals attempts
2540
2-point field goals made
1516
2-point field goals %
60%40%
3-point field goals attempts
3625
3-point field goals made
88
3-point field goals %
22.22%32%
Free throws attempts
2329
Free throws made
1622
Free throws %
69.6%75.9%
Offensive rebounds
1512
Defensive rebounds
3131
Total rebounds
4643
Assists
1510
Blocks
45
Turnovers
1814
Steals
77
Personal fouls
2724

Chances of winning


Pato
42.3%
Rio Claro
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pato's form might have worsened.
  • Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Claro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Claro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pato - Rio Claro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.74)

    1.61
    (1.95)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Pato - Rio Claro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pato will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rio Claro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 78:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2 extra times played.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 2.
    • Pato has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rio Claro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Pato has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 537:571. (average 76.7:81.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 213:214. (average 71:71.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pato - Rio Claro were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Rio Claro - Pato 101:109
    02.02.2023 Rio Claro - Pato 100:93
    31.10.2022 Pato - Rio Claro 61:59
    Latest results of Pato
    02.04.2026 Pato - Brasília Basquete 58:67
    24.03.2026 Bauru - Pato 94:70
    18.03.2026 Pato - São José dos Campos 72:81
    13.03.2026 Pato - Mogi 72:80
    07.03.2026 Pato - Corinthians Paulista 79:89
    Latest results of Rio Claro
    20.03.2026 Rio Claro - Mogi 77:83
    17.03.2026 Paulistano - Rio Claro 100:87
    13.03.2026 Basquete Cearense - Rio Claro 72:93
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Franca352963176:26980.829
    2Pinheiros362973077:26840.806
    3Minas352783074:28790.771
    4Brasilia362792929:25870.750
    5Flamengo3525103037:27540.714
    6Corinthians Paulista3525102973:27670.714
    7Paulistano3522132918:27340.629
    8Bauru3621152949:28450.583
    9Sao Jose3520152886:28240.571
    10Mogi3519162663:24800.543
    11Unifacisa3518172851:28090.514
    12Uniao Corinthians3518172781:28450.514
    13Caxias do Sul3516192587:26870.457
    14Cruzeiro3411232699:29060.324
    15Rio Claro3611252810:30870.306
    16Botafogo3510252547:28710.286
    17Pato347272474:27130.206
    18Cearense367292762:32060.194
    19Vasco355302467:28250.143
    20Osasco365312737:31960.139

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