Result
5:1
21/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Gesse (G),
- 6', Pirulito 🟨,
- 6', Duduzinho 🟨,
- 18', Maicon (G),
- 19', Ian 🟨,
- 20', Brayan 🟨,
- 20', Brayan (G),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 24', Duduzinho (G),
- 26', Vitinho 🟨,
- 29', Neguinho 🟨,
- 30', Neguinho (G),
- 31', Ian Lucas 🟨,
- 37', Neguinho (G),
Chances of winning
Pato
61.1% | Draw
20.8% | São Lourenço
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)São Lourenço has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Lourenço than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Pato - São Lourenço Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.52) |
4.75 ↓
(4.78) |
5.48 ↑
(4.59) |
1.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Pato - São Lourenço?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. São Lourenço will win (votes: 2 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Lourenço (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
Preview Facts
- Pato is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- São Lourenço has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pato is the team to beat.
- We predict that Pato will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pato won against São Lourenço?
Pato has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Lourenço won against Pato?
São Lourenço has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pato - São Lourenço were as follows:
10.11.2024
Pato
-
São Lourenço
2:1
03.11.2024
São Lourenço
-
Pato
1:2
03.08.2024
São Lourenço
-
Pato
5:4
06.08.2023
Pato
-
São Lourenço
3:0
Latest results of São Lourenço
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atlantico (1) | Umuarama (16) | |
| 2 | Cascavel (8) | Marreco (9) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Jaragua (4) | Minas (13) | |
| 4 | Joinville (5) | Velez Camaqua (12) | |
| 5 | Praia Clube (2) | Foz Cataratas (15) | |
| 6 | ACMF/Campo Mourao (7) | Pato (10) | |
| 7 | Magnus (3) | Santo Andre/Intelli (14) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Corinthians (6) | Carlos Barbosa (11) | |
