Patrick Zahraj vs Miguel Tobon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
67
Double Faults
122
1st serve percentage
57%62%
1st serve points won
63% (39/62)67% (44/66)
2nd serve points won
51% (24/47)56% (23/41)
Break Points Saved
10/157/11
1st return points won
33% (22/66)37% (23/62)
2nd return points won
44% (18/41)49% (23/47)
Break Points Converted
4/115/15
Winners
2329
Unforced errors
6047
Net points won
67% (12/18)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
58% (63/109)63% (67/107)
Return Points Won
37% (40/107)42% (46/109)
Total Points Won
48% (103/216)52% (113/216)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
69% (11/16)76% (13/17)
Return games won
24% (4/17)31% (5/16)
Total games won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Patrick Zahraj
46.3%
Miguel Tobon
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patrick Zahraj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patrick Zahraj's form might have worsened.
  • Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patrick Zahraj, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.54)

    1.74
    (2.28)
    7.2%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tobon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zahraj is ranked ATP: 405. Tobon is ranked ATP: 563.
    • Zahraj has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tobon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Zahraj may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zahraj won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon Zahraj P. retired
    Latest results of Patrick Zahraj
    Latest results of Miguel Tobon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Huesler M.2 : 1
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (Alt)Ayeni A. (Q)2 : 0
    3Zhukayev B.Vandecasteele Q. (Q)0 : 2
    4Krueger M.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Wong C. (4)Mejia N.0 : 2
    6Kozlov S.Martin A.0 : 2
    7Polmans M. (Q)Mena F. (Q)2 : 1
    8Crawford O.Rodesch C. (6)0 : 2
    9Mochizuki S. (5)Smith K. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Ficovich J. P.Alves M. (LL)2 : 0
    11Hernandez A. (WC)Andrade A.0 : 2
    12Catry R. (Q)Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    13Bu Y. (7)Wiskandt M. (LL)2 : 0
    14Galarneau A.Tobon M. (Q)2 : 1
    15Magadan A. (WC)Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)2 : 0
    16Pavlovic L.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 2
    2Vandecasteele Q.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Mejia N.Martin A.2 : 0
    4Polmans M.Rodesch C. (6)0 : 2
    5Mochizuki S. (5)Ficovich J. P.1 : 2
    6Andrade A.Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    7Bu Y. (7)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    8Magadan A.Pavlovic L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pacheco Mendez R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Mejia N.Rodesch C. (RET.) (6)0 : 0
    3Ficovich J. P.Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    4Galarneau A.Pavlovic L.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Mejia N.2 : 0
    2Ficovich J. P.Pavlovic L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Gojo B. (8)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0