Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Vasquez J. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Alvarez K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10', Figueroa F. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Congo J. ⚽,
- 35', Carreno A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Montes J. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 62', Ortiz D. ↓, Sagrera W. ↑,
- 62', Lerma J. ↓, Surmay O. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Carreno A. ⚽,
- 74', Espitia J. 🟨,
- 75', Salazar Sandoval K. A. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
- 75', Gomez M. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 75', Arrieta G. ↓, Ballesteros M. ↑,
- 75', Mercado J. ↓, Narvaez L. ↑,
- 79', Palomeque D. 🟨,
- 83', Molina T. ↓, Pacheco T. ↑,
- 89', Iguaran C. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Unión Magdalena
46.9% | Draw
30.3% | Patriotas
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Magdalena's form might have worsened.Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patriotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Magdalena - Patriotas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.74) |
3.04 ↓
(3.12) |
4.04 ↓
(4.95) |
8.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Patriotas?
Users Predictions:
Unión Magdalena will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 1.
- Unión Magdalena has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Patriotas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Unión Magdalena is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Unión Magdalena will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Patriotas?
Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Patriotas won against Unión Magdalena?
Patriotas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Patriotas were as follows:
03.10.2022
Patriotas
-
Unión Magdalena
3:1
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Latest results of Patriotas
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Palmira | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Quindio | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Cartagena | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Envigado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Ind. Yumbo | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bogota | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Tigres | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Orsomarso | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Real Cundinamarca | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Barranquilla | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Real Santander | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Leones | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 | Atletico F.C | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
