Lierse vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 30
  • Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.233.96
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
725
Shots on target
113
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
25
Passes
75% (278/369)76% (246/322)
Yellow cards
54
Red cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.233.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.664.59
Total shots
725
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
47
Shots inside the box
417
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2051
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
1218
Passes
75% (278/369)76% (246/322)
Long passes
44% (27/62)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
55% (57/103)69% (77/111)
Crosses
44% (7/16)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.472.76
Throw ins
1627
Fouls
1812
Tackles
69% (18/26)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6864
Clearances
4522
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
100
xGOT faced
4.590.66
Goals prevented
2.59-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Borry K. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Stanic A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 39', Masaki H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Rousseau L. ,
  • 62', De Vos V. 🟨,
  • 66', De Buyser W. 🟨,
  • 67', M'barki R. , Asante R. ,
  • 71', Matuta E. , Yeboah E. ,
  • 72', De Buyser W. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Rousseau L. , Peeters S. (A),
  • 78', Mayoka-Tika N. , Boncina L. ,
  • 82', Robberechts M. , Sarfo R. ,
  • 83', Masaki H. 🟨,
  • 86', Rousseau L. 🟨,
  • 87', Daguin V. , De Peuter D. ,
  • 88', Rousseau L. , Prychynenko D. ,
  • 90+1', Prychynenko D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Asante R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lierse
27.3%
Draw
27.7%
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 27.1% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 25.8% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Lierse - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (3.02)
    3.35
    (3.4)
    2.06
    (2.18)
    8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lierse - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Eisden will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eisden: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lierse (votes: 1 - 50%). Eisden (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lierse (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lierse (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Eisden (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Eisden might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lierse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lierse - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lierse 2:1
    11.04.2025 Lierse - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1:0
    03.11.2024 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lierse 3:3
    Latest results of Lierse
    10.03.2026 Eupen - Lierse 0:1
    07.03.2026 Lierse - Brugge U23 2:1
    28.02.2026 Genk U23 - Lierse 2:3
    21.02.2026 Lierse - Gent U23 1:3
    13.02.2026 Lierse - Seraing 0:1
    Latest results of Patro Eisden Maasmechelen