Patrocinense vs Democrata SL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2 Patrocinense - Democrata SL
Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Mineiro 2 - Final Stage - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Pablinho ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Luiz Paulo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Patrocinense
29.2%
Draw
31.8%
Democrata SL
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 31.2% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 30.8% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patrocinense's form might have worsened.
  • Democrata SL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Democrata SL's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patrocinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Democrata SL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Patrocinense - Democrata SL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.07)
    2.89
    (2.9)
    2.35
    (3.6)
    9.1%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Patrocinense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Democrata SL has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Democrata SL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Patrocinense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patrocinense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Patrocinense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patrocinense - Democrata SL were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Democrata SL - Patrocinense 1:0
    12.03.2023 Patrocinense - Democrata SL 2:0
    Latest results of Patrocinense
    Latest results of Democrata SL
    Draw
    Super final

    Final
    1URTNorth Esporte Clube0 : 1, 0 : 0