Patronato Parana vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Patronato Parana - Alvarado
Result
1:0
03/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
49
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', Irazoque A. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Castro F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Bolivar A. , Bolzicco T. ,
  • 62', Pereyra V. L. , Picco A. R. ,
  • 68', Miori M. 🟨,
  • 69', Martinez E. , Gorgerino C. ,
  • 69', Irazoque A. , Borgnino M. ,
  • 73', Blasi B. 🟨,
  • 78', Enrique M. , Navas J. ,
  • 84', Ardiles F. , Amilivia T. ,
  • 84', Miori M. , Castellano A. ,
  • 90', Marcioni J. , Barolin J. ,
  • 90+1', Moreno E. , Escobar I. ,

Chances of winning


Patronato Parana
49.2%
Draw
30.6%
Alvarado
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 24.9% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.9% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Patronato Parana - Alvarado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.68)
    3.04
    (3.75)
    4.59
    (4.8)
    7.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Patronato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Patronato is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Alvarado were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Alvarado - Patronato Parana 3:1
    28.07.2024 Patronato Parana - Alvarado 1:3
    10.03.2024 Alvarado - Patronato Parana 2:0
    08.07.2023 Alvarado - Patronato Parana 2:0
    06.03.2023 Patronato Parana - Alvarado 6:0
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Latest results of Alvarado
    19.07.2025 Club Almagro - Alvarado 0:0
    13.07.2025 Alvarado - San Miguel 0:0
    06.07.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado Postponed
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn251110433:211243
    2Atletico Atlanta24119423:15842
    3San Martin T24109522:16639
    4Tristan Suarez25912422:16639
    5San Miguel25109626:21539
    6Patronato25108728:23538
    7Gimnasia y Tiro2599722:15736
    8Deportivo Maipu2489723:22133
    9Los Andes25871025:24131
    10Almagro2579920:22-230
    11Racing Cordoba2579929:34-530
    12Colegiales25861115:21-630
    13Quilmes2369823:23027
    14All Boys25512819:21-227
    15Ferro25691015:25-1027
    16Club A. Guemes25414721:26-526
    17Alvarado24591016:23-724
    18Arsenal Sarandi25491224:38-1421


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy251210328:121646
    2Gimnasia Mendoza241210225:111446
    3Chacarita Juniors25127632:201243
    4Chaco For Ever25134828:19943
    5Temperley25119523:17642
    6Estudiantes Rio Cuarto251011425:151041
    7Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    8CA Estudiantes25116826:18839
    9Nueva Chicago2588923:24-132
    10Agropecuario2588928:30-232
    11CA Mitre25871017:19-231
    12San Telmo25710824:29-531
    13Def. de Belgrano2479819:19030
    14Central Norte25841322:30-828
    15Colon Santa Fe25831420:31-1127
    16Almirante Brown25591120:29-924
    17Defensores Unidos25291414:42-2815
    18Talleres (R.E)2525189:30-2111

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation