Result
1:0
03/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Irazoque A. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Castro F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Bolivar A. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
- 62', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 68', Miori M. 🟨,
- 69', Martinez E. ↓, Gorgerino C. ↑,
- 69', Irazoque A. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
- 73', Blasi B. 🟨,
- 78', Enrique M. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
- 84', Ardiles F. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
- 84', Miori M. ↓, Castellano A. ↑,
- 90', Marcioni J. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
- 90+1', Moreno E. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Patronato Parana
49.2% | Draw
30.6% | Alvarado
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Patronato Parana - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.68) |
3.04 ↓
(3.75) |
4.59 ↓
(4.8) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Patronato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Patronato is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Alvarado?
Patronato Parana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Patronato Parana?
Alvarado has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Alvarado were as follows:
30.03.2025
Alvarado
-
Patronato Parana
3:1
28.07.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Alvarado
1:3
10.03.2024
Alvarado
-
Patronato Parana
2:0
08.07.2023
Alvarado
-
Patronato Parana
2:0
06.03.2023
Patronato Parana
-
Alvarado
6:0
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | All Boys | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | Los Andes | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 40 |
| 14 | Club A. Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 33 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 63 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:22 | 13 | 60 |
| 3 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 41:22 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 36:19 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 36:20 | 16 | 57 |
| 6 | Temperley | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 55 |
| 7 | Agropecuario | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 43:34 | 9 | 54 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 49 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 40 |
| 14 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 36 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 36 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 17:40 | -23 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 17:52 | -35 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
