Result
0:1
14/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 10
- Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Marcioni J. ⚽,
- 26', Bellatti S. D. N. 🟨,
- 39', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rius C. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez E. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 55', Barinaga J. 🟨,
- 59', Cocca M. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
- 59', Stringa A. ↓, Trombini M. ↑,
- 64', Barinaga J. ↓, Nievas B. ↑,
- 77', Vera M. 🟨,
- 81', Serrano V. 🟨,
- 81', Marcioni J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
- 82', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Pacco L. ↑,
- 87', Colletta T. ↓, Purita E. ↑,
- 88', Picco A. R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Trombini M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arsenal Sarandí
33% | Draw
33.4% | Patronato Parana
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Arsenal Sarandí - Patronato Parana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.68) |
2.76 ↓
(2.79) |
2.76 ↓
(2.89) |
8.3%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Patronato Parana?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Patronato will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2.
- Arsenal Sarandí is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Patronato is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Patronato Parana?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Patronato Parana were as follows:
12.10.2024
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Patronato Parana
2:0
26.05.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Arsenal Sarandí
0:0
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Ferro | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28:19 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
