Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 16
- Referee: Recalde M. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 🟨,
- 12', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Bonansea A. (Pen),
- 24', 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Yegros U. ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
- 62', Asis G. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
- 62', Castro F. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
- 71', Dornell T. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
- 71', Rodriguez A. ↓, Baldunciel L. ↑,
- 77', Barinaga J. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 77', Marcioni J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
- 79', Gonzalez A. ↓, Diosquez N. ↑,
- 79', Luayza M. ↓, Chaves A. ↑,
- 86', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
- 88', Castro T. ↓, Conechny R. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Orlando J. ⚽,
- 90+5', Jerez Silva L. 🟥,
- 90+5', Pardo M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Club Almagro
41.6% | Draw
32.5% | Patronato Parana
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Club Almagro - Patronato Parana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.15) |
2.87 ↓
(3.15) |
3.63 ↑
(3.45) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Patronato Parana?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Almagro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Patronato has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Almagro could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Almagro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Club Almagro won against Patronato Parana?
Club Almagro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Club Almagro?
Patronato Parana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Patronato Parana were as follows:
07.10.2023
Club Almagro
-
Patronato Parana
2:1
28.05.2023
Patronato Parana
-
Club Almagro
1:0
Latest results of Club Almagro
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
| 13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
