Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana
Result
2:1
11/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Contin N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bellatti S. D. N. , Sanchez G. ,
  • 46', Marcioni J. , Pereyra V. L. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Bonansea A. ,
  • 51', Pereyra V. L. 🟨,
  • 55', Moreyra F. 🟨,
  • 64', Galetto J. , Reynaga R. ,
  • 65', Sivetti F. 🟨,
  • 76', Sivetti F. , Busse W. ,
  • 82', Rojas F. , Keko ,
  • 83', Aguirre J. , Mendez J. ,
  • 83', Contin N. , Gordillo L. ,
  • 83', Barinaga J. , Navas J. ,
  • 83', Castro F. , Enrique M. ,
  • 86', Navas J. 🟨,
  • 86', Reynaga R. 🟨,
  • 89', Moreno E. , Escobar I. ,
  • 90', Guanini M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Reynaga R. ,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Tiro
42.1%
Draw
34.6%
Patronato Parana
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 30.2% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 30.2% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.1)
    2.71
    (3.1)
    3.97
    (3.7)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia y Tiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Tiro 0:0
    24.01.2023 Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Tiro 2:0
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn ✔ 341612645:281760
    2Atletico Atlanta ✔ 341413731:28355
    3Tristan Suarez ✔ 341216633:231052
    4Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ 341312934:231151
    5San Miguel ✔ 341214832:28450
    6San Martin T. ✔ 341213932:29349
    7Deportivo Maipu ✔ 3412121034:30448
    8Patronato ✔ 3412121031:28348
    9Colegiales341381326:26047
    10Racing Cordoba3410111338:45-741
    11Ferro3410111324:33-941
    12Los Andes3310101328:28040
    13Club A. Guemes348161028:32-440
    14Quilmes348141230:32-238
    15All Boys33717923:25-238
    16Almagro347141324:31-735
    17Arsenal Sarandi ✔ 348101638:47-934
    18Alvarado ✔ 346151318:33-1533


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza341712535:181763
    2Estudiantes Rio Cuarto341612635:221360
    3CA Estudiantes34178941:221959
    4Deportivo Moron341513636:191758
    5Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ 341512736:201657
    6Temperley341413730:22855
    7Agropecuario341591043:34954
    8Chaco For Ever341581134:26853
    9Chacarita Juniors341213937:29849
    10Def. de Belgrano3412121030:26448
    11Nueva Chicago3410111327:33-641
    12San Telmo3410111331:42-1141
    13CA Mitre3410101428:31-340
    14Almirante Brown348121428:38-1036
    15Central Norte341061827:41-1436
    16Colon Santa Fe34952022:39-1732
    17Talleres (R.E) ✔ 34652317:40-2323
    18Defensores Unidos ✔ 343121917:52-3521

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
    Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
    Alvarado is Relegated to
    Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
    Defensores Unidos is Relegated to