Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana
Result
2:1
11/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Contin N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bellatti S. D. N. , Sanchez G. ,
  • 46', Marcioni J. , Pereyra V. L. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Bonansea A. ,
  • 51', Pereyra V. L. 🟨,
  • 55', Moreyra F. 🟨,
  • 64', Galetto J. , Reynaga R. ,
  • 65', Sivetti F. 🟨,
  • 76', Sivetti F. , Busse W. ,
  • 82', Rojas F. , Keko ,
  • 83', Aguirre J. , Mendez J. ,
  • 83', Contin N. , Gordillo L. ,
  • 83', Barinaga J. , Navas J. ,
  • 83', Castro F. , Enrique M. ,
  • 86', Navas J. 🟨,
  • 86', Reynaga R. 🟨,
  • 89', Moreno E. , Escobar I. ,
  • 90', Guanini M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Reynaga R. ,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Tiro
42.1%
Draw
34.6%
Patronato Parana
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 30.2% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 30.2% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.1)
    2.71
    (3.1)
    3.97
    (3.7)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia y Tiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Tiro 0:0
    24.01.2023 Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Tiro 2:0
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn311511543:261756
    2Atletico Atlanta311312628:23551
    3San Miguel311212730:25548
    4Gimnasia y Tiro311211830:181247
    5San Martin T311211829:25447
    6Tristan Suarez311016528:21746
    7Patronato311210930:25546
    8Deportivo Maipu311012928:27142
    9Los Andes3110101128:26240
    10Racing Cordoba319111135:39-438
    11Colegiales311081321:25-438
    12Quilmes318121129:30-136
    13All Boys31715923:25-236
    14Almagro317131124:29-534
    15Club A. Guemes316151026:32-633
    16Ferro317111319:32-1332
    17Arsenal Sarandi317101431:43-1231
    18Alvarado315141217:28-1129


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes Rio Cuarto311511532:181456
    2Gimnasia Mendoza311511531:171456
    3Gimnasia Jujuy311412532:151754
    4Deportivo Moron311411632:181453
    5CA Estudiantes31157936:201652
    6Temperley311312626:19751
    7Chaco For Ever311471031:24749
    8Chacarita Juniors311212735:241148
    9Agropecuario31139939:33648
    10Def. de Belgrano311012926:24242
    11San Telmo319111128:36-838
    12Nueva Chicago319101226:30-437
    13CA Mitre31991325:27-236
    14Central Norte31961624:36-1233
    15Almirante Brown317111324:34-1032
    16Colon Santa Fe31841921:38-1728
    17Talleres (R.E)31552115:36-2120
    18Defensores Unidos313101817:51-3419

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation