Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Australian Open Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa
Result
2:0
23/01/2025 at 03:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
63%53%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (24/31)66% (25/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (11/18)41% (14/34)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)56% (5/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
170 km/h178 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
140 km/h149 km/h
1st Return Points Won
34% (13/38)23% (7/31)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (20/34)39% (7/18)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)100% (1/1)
Winners
3211
Unforced Errors
2115
Net Points Won
80% (8/10)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
71% (35/49)54% (39/72)
Return Points Won
46% (33/72)29% (14/49)
Total Points Won
56% (68/121)44% (53/121)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
73%
Paula Badosa
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
76.9% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.25)

    3.53
    (4.14)
    4.2%
    (4.5%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Badosa will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 42.3%75.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Badosa is ranked WTA: 12.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4.
    • One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.
    • In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.32.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa 1:0
    01.06.2024 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    17.04.2024 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka Badosa P. retired
    22.03.2024 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    21.04.2023 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka 1:2
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stephens S.2 : 0
    2Kartal S.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    3Pera B.Maria T.0 : 2
    4Tauson C.Noskova L. (29)2 : 1
    5Frech M. (23)Kudermetova P. (Q)2 : 0
    6Blinkova A.Saville D. (WC)2 : 1
    7Uchijima M.Linette M.2 : 1
    8Bouzkova M.Andreeva M. (14)0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (12)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    10Tomljanovic A. (WC)Krueger A.2 : 1
    11Dart H. (LL)Fett J. (Q)2 : 1
    12Parry D.Vekic D. (18)0 : 2
    13Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    14Zidansek T. (Q)Potapova A.0 : 2
    15Siegemund L.Baptiste H.2 : 1
    16Todoni A. A. (Q)Zheng Q. (5)0 : 2
    17Gauff C. (3)Kenin S.2 : 0
    18Jeanjean L. (Q)Burrage J.0 : 2
    19Bucsa C.Paquet C. (WC)2 : 0
    20Starodubtseva Y.Fernandez L. (30)0 : 2
    21Muchova K. (20)Podoroska N.2 : 0
    22Osaka N.Garcia C.2 : 1
    23Erjavec V. (Q)Lamens S.0 : 2
    24Bencic B.Ostapenko J. (16)2 : 0
    25Badosa P. (11)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    26Sonmez Z.Gibson T. (WC)1 : 2
    27Niemeier J.Chwalinska M. (Q)2 : 0
    28Hibino N. (Q)Kostyuk M. (17)1 : 2
    29Samsonova L. (25)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    30Rus A.Danilovic O.0 : 2
    31Mertens E.Golubic V. (Q)2 : 1
    32Joint M. (WC)Pegula J. (7)0 : 2
    33Rybakina E. (6)Jones E. (WC)2 : 0
    34Parrizas-Diaz N.Jovic I. (WC)0 : 2
    35Kovinic D.Sun L.2 : 0
    36Sherif M.Yastremska D. (32)0 : 2
    37Keys M. (19)Li A.2 : 0
    38Begu I.Ruse G. (Q)0 : 2
    39Minnen G.Aiava D. (Q)1 : 2
    40Snigur D. (Q)Collins D. (10)0 : 2
    41Haddad Maia B. (15)Riera J. (Q)2 : 1
    42Zheng S.Andreeva E.0 : 2
    43Kudermetova V.Gadecki O.2 : 0
    44Marino R.Boulter K. (22)1 : 2
    45Svitolina E. (28)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    46Bejlek S. (Q)Dolehide C.0 : 2
    47Townsend T.Zarazua R.1 : 2
    48Wei S. (Q)Paolini J. (4)0 : 2
    49Navarro E. (8)Stearns P.2 : 1
    50Wang Xiy.Grabher J.2 : 0
    51Kalinina A.Jabeur O.0 : 2
    52Osorio C.Sakkari M. (31)2 : 1
    53Putintseva Y. (24)Avanesyan E.2 : 1
    54Zhang S. (WC)Kessler M.2 : 0
    55Bondar A.Wang Y.1 : 2
    56Tomova V.Kasatkina D. (9)0 : 2
    57Lys E. (LL)Birrell K. (Q)2 : 0
    58Gracheva V.McNally C.2 : 0
    59Martic P. (LL)Cristian J.1 : 2
    60Bronzetti L.Azarenka V. (21)2 : 0
    61Alexandrova E. (26)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    62Carle M. L.Anisimova A.0 : 2
    63Sramkova R.Volynets K.2 : 1
    64Siniakova K.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    2Maria T.Tauson C.0 : 2
    3Frech M. (23)Blinkova A.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M.Andreeva M. (14)1 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (12)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    6Dart H.Vekic D. (18)1 : 2
    7Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Potapova A.2 : 1
    8Siegemund L.Zheng Q. (5)2 : 0
    9Gauff C. (3)Burrage J.2 : 0
    10Bucsa C.Fernandez L. (30)1 : 2
    11Muchova K. (20)Osaka N.1 : 2
    12Lamens S.Bencic B.0 : 2
    13Badosa P. (11)Gibson T.2 : 0
    14Niemeier J.Kostyuk M. (17)0 : 2
    15Samsonova L. (25)Danilovic O.0 : 2
    16Mertens E.Pegula J. (7)0 : 2
    17Rybakina E. (6)Jovic I.2 : 0
    18Kovinic D.Yastremska D. (32)0 : 2
    19Keys M. (19)Ruse G.2 : 1
    20Aiava D.Collins D. (10)1 : 2
    21Haddad Maia B. (15)Andreeva E.2 : 0
    22Kudermetova V.Boulter K. (22)2 : 1
    23Svitolina E. (28)Dolehide C.2 : 0
    24Zarazua R.Paolini J. (4)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (8)Wang Xiy.2 : 1
    26Jabeur O.Osorio C.2 : 0
    27Putintseva Y. (24)Zhang S.2 : 0
    28Wang Y.Kasatkina D. (9)0 : 2
    29Lys E.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    30Cristian J.Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    31Raducanu E.Anisimova A.2 : 0
    32Sramkova R.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Tauson C.2 : 0
    2Frech M. (23)Andreeva M. (14)1 : 2
    3Shnaider D. (12)Vekic D. (18)1 : 2
    4Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    5Gauff C. (3)Fernandez L. (30)2 : 0
    6Osaka N. (RET.)Bencic B.0 : 1
    7Badosa P. (11)Kostyuk M. (17)2 : 1
    8Danilovic O.Pegula J. (7)2 : 0
    9Rybakina E. (6)Yastremska D. (32)2 : 0
    10Keys M. (19)Collins D. (10)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B. (15)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    12Svitolina E. (28)Paolini J. (4)2 : 1
    13Navarro E. (8)Jabeur O.2 : 1
    14Putintseva Y. (24)Kasatkina D. (9)0 : 2
    15Lys E.Cristian J.2 : 1
    16Raducanu E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Andreeva M. (14)2 : 0
    2Vekic D. (18)Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)0 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Bencic B.2 : 1
    4Badosa P. (11)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (6)Keys M. (19)1 : 2
    6Kudermetova V.Svitolina E. (28)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (8)Kasatkina D. (9)2 : 1
    8Lys E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)2 : 1
    2Gauff C. (3)Badosa P. (11)0 : 2
    3Keys M. (19)Svitolina E. (28)2 : 1
    4Navarro E. (8)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Badosa P. (11)2 : 0
    2Keys M. (19)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Keys M. (19)1 : 2