Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/01/2025 at 03:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bulgariaBulgariaEurosport 1, Max
croatiaCroatiaMax
czech-republicCzech-republicEurosport 1, Max
denmarkDenmarkMax
finlandFinlandEurosport 1, Max
franceFranceEurosport 1, Max
germanyGermanyDiscovery+(Ger)
hungaryHungaryMax
italyItalyDiscovery+, Eurosport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsEurosport 1
norwayNorwayEurosport 1, MAX
polandPolandEurosport 1, Max
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 1, Max
serbiaSerbiaMax
sloveniaSloveniaMax
spainSpainEurosport 1
swedenSwedenEurosport 1, Max
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Eurosport 1

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
63%53%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (24/31)66% (25/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (11/18)41% (14/34)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)56% (5/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
170 km/h178 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
140 km/h149 km/h
1st Return Points Won
34% (13/38)23% (7/31)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (20/34)39% (7/18)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)100% (1/1)
Winners
3211
Unforced Errors
2115
Net Points Won
80% (8/10)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
71% (35/49)54% (39/72)
Return Points Won
46% (33/72)29% (14/49)
Total Points Won
56% (68/121)44% (53/121)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
73%
Paula Badosa
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
76.9% 23.1%

Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.32
(1.25)

3.53
(4.14)
4.2%
(4.5%)
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Badosa will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 42.3%75.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Badosa is ranked WTA: 12.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4.
    • One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.
    • In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.32.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa 1:0
    01.06.2024 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    17.04.2024 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka Badosa P. retired
    22.03.2024 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    21.04.2023 Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka 1:2
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)2 : 0
    2Pavlyuchenkova A.Bai Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Lamens S.Potapova A.1 : 2
    4Sawangkaew M.Raducanu E. (28)0 : 2
    5Mboko V. (17)Jones E. (WC)2 : 0
    6McNally C.Sakatsume H. (Q)2 : 0
    7Kudermetova P.Maristany G. (Q)2 : 0
    8Galfi D.Tauson C. (14)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (11)Sonmez Z. (Q)1 : 2
    10Bondar A.Mandlik E. (WC)2 : 0
    11Putintseva Y.Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    12Jacquemot E.Kostyuk M. (20)2 : 1
    13Jovic I. (29)Volynets K.2 : 0
    14Hon P. (WC)Stakusic M. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    15Erjavec V.Frech M.0 : 2
    16Sasnovich A. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Gauff C. (3)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    18Danilovic O.Williams V. (WC)2 : 1
    19Hunter S. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    20Baptiste H.Townsend T. (LL)2 : 1
    21Muchova K. (19)Cristian J.2 : 0
    22Parks A.Eala A.2 : 1
    23Li A.Osorio C.2 : 1
    24Linette M.Navarro E. (15)2 : 1
    25Svitolina E. (12)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    26Klimovicova L. (Q)Jones F. (RET.)1 : 0
    27Gibson T. (WC)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    28Krejcikova B.Shnaider D. (23)1 : 2
    29Yastremska D. (26)Ruse G.0 : 2
    30Starodubtseva Y. (Q)Tomljanovic A.1 : 2
    31Sakkari M.Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    32Vekic D.Andreeva M. (8)1 : 2
    33Pegula J. (6)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    34Arango E.Kessler M.0 : 2
    35Selekhmeteva O.Seidel E.2 : 1
    36Diyas Z. (WC)Badosa P. (25)0 : 2
    37Fernandez L. (22)Tjen J.0 : 2
    38Pliskova Ka.Stephens S. (Q)2 : 0
    39Krueger A.Bejlek S.2 : 0
    40Oliynykova O.Keys M. (9)0 : 2
    41Noskova L. (13)Semenistaja D.2 : 0
    42Zhang S.Preston T. (WC)1 : 2
    43Wang Xin.Kalinina A. (Q)2 : 0
    44Sramkova R.Ostapenko J. (24)0 : 2
    45Kenin S. (27)Stearns P.0 : 2
    46Marcinko P.Maria T.2 : 0
    47Udvardy P.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    48Waltert S.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    49Rybakina E. (5)Juvan K.2 : 0
    50Gracheva V.Golubic V.2 : 1
    51Sun L.Fruhvirtova L. (Q)0 : 2
    52Valentova T.Joint M. (30)2 : 0
    53Mertens E. (21)Tararudee L. (Q)2 : 0
    54Sierra S.Uchijima M.0 : 2
    55Kasatkina D.Bartunkova N. (Q)1 : 2
    56Boulter K.Bencic B. (10)0 : 2
    57Osaka N. (16)Ruzic A.2 : 1
    58Cirstea S.Lys E.2 : 1
    59Inglis M. (Q)Birrell K.2 : 1
    60Siegemund L.Samsonova L. (18)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (31)Kartal S.2 : 0
    62Grabher J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 1
    63Zarazua R.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    64Yuan Y. (Q)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bai Z.2 : 0
    2Potapova A.Raducanu E. (28)2 : 0
    3Mboko V. (17)McNally C.2 : 0
    4Kudermetova P.Tauson C. (14)1 : 2
    5Sonmez Z.Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Putintseva Y.Jacquemot E.2 : 0
    7Jovic I. (29)Hon P.2 : 0
    8Frech M.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Gauff C. (3)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    10Hunter S.Baptiste H.0 : 2
    11Muchova K. (19)Parks A.2 : 1
    12Li A.Linette M.0 : 2
    13Svitolina E. (12)Klimovicova L.2 : 0
    14Gibson T.Shnaider D. (23)1 : 2
    15Ruse G.Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    16Sakkari M.Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (6)Kessler M.2 : 0
    18Selekhmeteva O.Badosa P. (25)2 : 0
    19Tjen J.Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    20Krueger A.Keys M. (9)0 : 2
    21Noskova L. (13)Preston T.2 : 1
    22Wang Xin.Ostapenko J. (24)2 : 1
    23Stearns P.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    24Siniakova K.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    26Fruhvirtova L.Valentova T.1 : 2
    27Mertens E. (21)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    28Bartunkova N.Bencic B. (10)2 : 1
    29Osaka N. (16)Cirstea S.2 : 1
    30Inglis M.Siegemund L.2 : 1
    31Kalinskaya A. (31)Grabher J.2 : 0
    32Bouzkova M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Potapova A.2 : 0
    2Mboko V. (17)Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    3Sonmez Z.Putintseva Y.1 : 2
    4Jovic I. (29)Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Gauff C. (3)Baptiste H.2 : 1
    6Muchova K. (19)Linette M.2 : 0
    7Svitolina E. (12)Shnaider D. (23)2 : 0
    8Ruse G.Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (6)Selekhmeteva O.2 : 0
    10Pliskova Ka.Keys M. (9)0 : 2
    11Noskova L. (13)Wang Xin.0 : 2
    12Stearns P.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (5)Valentova T.2 : 0
    14Mertens E. (21)Bartunkova N.2 : 0
    15Osaka N. (16)Inglis M. (WO.)
    16Kalinskaya A. (31)Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mboko V. (17)2 : 0
    2Putintseva Y.Jovic I. (29)0 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Muchova K. (19)2 : 1
    4Svitolina E. (12)Andreeva M. (8)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (6)Keys M. (9)2 : 0
    6Wang Xin.Anisimova A. (4)0 : 2
    7Rybakina E. (5)Mertens E. (21)2 : 0
    8Inglis M.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Jovic I. (29)2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (3)Svitolina E. (12)0 : 2
    3Pegula J. (6)Anisimova A. (4)2 : 0
    4Rybakina E. (5)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    2Pegula J. (6)Rybakina E. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (5)1 : 2