Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Dubai Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa
Result
2:1
19/02/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
108
Double Faults
88
1st Serve Percentage
64%58%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (59/87)68% (47/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (22/50)47% (23/49)
Break Points Saved
71% (12/17)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
32% (22/69)32% (28/87)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (26/49)56% (28/50)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)29% (5/17)
Service Points Won
59% (81/137)59% (70/118)
Return Points Won
41% (48/118)41% (56/137)
Total Points Won
51% (129/255)49% (126/255)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
60
Service Games Won
71% (12/17)76% (13/17)
Return Games Won
24% (4/17)29% (5/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Elena Rybakina
59.4%
Paula Badosa
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.58)

    2.35
    (2.18)
    4.6%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: Paula Badosa will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7%97.94%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rybakina is ranked WTA: 7. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rybakina won 2.
    • Recent matches Rybakina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Badosa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Rybakina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Rybakina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Rybakina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa were as follows:
    25.03.2023 Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa 2:1
    13.03.2023 Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa 2:0
    09.11.2022 Paula Badosa - Elena Rybakina 2:1
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Alexandrova E.Kudermetova V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sramkova R.Tauson C.0 : 2
    4Svitolina E.Kalinskaya A. (15)2 : 0
    5Shnaider D. (11)Frech M.2 : 0
    6Noskova L.Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    7Samsonova L.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    8ByePegula J. (5)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Kessler M.Anisimova A.2 : 0
    11Sakkari M.Raducanu E. (WC)0 : 2
    12Lamens S. (Q)Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Kasatkina D. (10)Cirstea S. (WC)0 : 2
    14Parks A. (Q)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    15Bencic B.Ito A. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeNavarro E. (8)
    17Rybakina E. (6)Bye
    18Uchijima M. (Q)Ostapenko J.2 : 0
    19Mertens E.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    20Sun L.Badosa P. (9)0 : 2
    21Vekic D. (16)Kenin S. (WC)0 : 2
    22Siniakova K. (Q)Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    23Lys E. (Q)Begu I. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePaolini J. (4)
    25Zheng Q. (7)Bye
    26Jabeur O.Stearns P.0 : 2
    27Vondrousova M.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 0
    28Avanesyan E.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    29Haddad Maia B. (13)Potapova A.0 : 2
    30Linette M.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    31Azarenka V.Kalinina A.2 : 1
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova V.2 : 0
    2Tauson C.Svitolina E.2 : 1
    3Shnaider D. (11)Noskova L.1 : 2
    4Samsonova L.Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Kessler M.0 : 2
    6Raducanu E.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Cirstea S.Parks A.2 : 1
    8Bencic B.Navarro E. (8)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (6)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    10Mertens E.Badosa P. (9)0 : 2
    11Kenin S.Kostyuk M.2 : 1
    12Lys E.Paolini J. (4)0 : 2
    13Zheng Q. (7)Stearns P.1 : 2
    14Vondrousova M.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    15Potapova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    16Azarenka V.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Tauson C.0 : 2
    2Noskova L.Pegula J. (5)2 : 0
    3Kessler M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    4Cirstea S.Navarro E. (8)2 : 1
    5Rybakina E. (6)Badosa P. (9)2 : 1
    6Kenin S.Paolini J. (4)2 : 0
    7Stearns P.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tauson C.Noskova L.2 : 0
    2Muchova K. (14)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (6)Kenin S.2 : 0
    4Andreeva M. (12)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tauson C.Muchova K. (14)2 : 1
    2Rybakina E. (6)Andreeva M. (12)1 : 2

    Final
    1Tauson C.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2