Paula Badosa vs Elina Svitolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	0
Double Faults
4	2
1st serve percentage
45%	48%
1st serve points won
62% (8/13)	67% (10/15)
2nd serve points won
44% (7/16)	63% (10/16)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)	67% (2/3)
1st return points won
40% (6/15)	38% (5/13)
2nd return points won
38% (6/16)	56% (9/16)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)	50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
54% (15/28)	65% (20/31)
Return Points Won
35% (11/31)	46% (13/28)
Total Points Won
44% (26/59)	56% (33/59)
Last 10 balls
0	10
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
60% (3/5)	80% (4/5)
Return games won
20% (1/5)	40% (2/5)
Total games won
40% (4/10)	60% (6/10)

Chances of winning

Paula Badosa
33%

Elina Svitolina
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Paula Badosa - Elina Svitolina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)		1.42 ↑ (1.35)	5.3% (8.7%)

What is the prediction for Paula Badosa - Elina Svitolina?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Svitolina will win (votes: 21 - 95.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 86.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +3.5 Games - Svitolina (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elina Svitolina will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Badosa (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Svitolina (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Badosa is ranked WTA: 70. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 9.
Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Badosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Svitolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Elina Svitolina?

Paula Badosa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elina Svitolina won against Paula Badosa?

Elina Svitolina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paula Badosa - Elina Svitolina were as follows:

17.09.2025 Paula Badosa - Elina Svitolina 1:2

Latest results of Paula Badosa

16.02.2026 Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa 0:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko Canceled ✺

02.02.2026 Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1:2 ✺

02.02.2026 Paula Badosa - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Canceled ✺

21.01.2026 Oksana Selekhmeteva - Paula Badosa 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Elina Svitolina

11.02.2026 Anna Kalinskaya - Elina Svitolina 2:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Dayana Yastremska - Elina Svitolina 0:2 ✺

29.01.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina 2:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina 0:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Elina Svitolina - Mirra Andreeva 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Bye
2	Maria T.	Birrell K. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Ruzic A. (LL)	Raducanu E.	2 : 1
4	Uchijima M. (Q)	Zakharova A. (LL)	0 : 2
5	Bencic B. (9)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 1
6	Sonmez Z. (WC)	Bejlek S. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Siniakova K.	Badosa P.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
9	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
10	Ostapenko J.	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
11	Bouzkova M.	Mertens E.	0 : 2
12	Ruse G. (Q)	Navarro E. (14)	0 : 2
13	Noskova L. (10)	Li A.	2 : 1
14	Cirstea S.	Sasnovich A. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)	Eala A.	0 : 1
16	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Sun L. (WC)	Linette M.	1 : 2
19	Stearns P. (LL)	Frech M. (LL)	2 : 0
20	Kenin S.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
21	Jovic I. (16)	Rakhimova K. (LL)	2 : 1
22	Shnaider D.	Joint M.	2 : 0
23	Gracheva V. (Q)	Sramkova R. (Q)	2 : 1
24	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Siegemund L.	Kasatkina D.	0 : 2
27	Seidel E. (Q)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
28	Cristian J.	Marcinko P. (LL)	2 : 0
29	Samsonova L. (13)	Fernandez L.	1 : 2
30	Yastremska D.	Tjen J. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Krejcikova B.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Anisimova A. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
2	Ruzic A.	Zakharova A.	2 : 1
3	Bencic B. (WO.) (9)	Bejlek S.
4	Badosa P. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 1
5	Gauff C. (3)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
6	Mertens E.	Navarro E. (14)	2 : 0
7	Noskova L. (10)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
8	Eala A.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Linette M.	1 : 2
10	Stearns P.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
11	Jovic I. (16)	Shnaider D.	2 : 1
12	Gracheva V.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)	Kasatkina D.
14	Seidel E. (RET.)	Cristian J.	0 : 1
15	Fernandez L.	Tjen J.	0 : 2
16	Krejcikova B.	Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

1/8-finals

1	Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)	Ruzic A.	1 : 1
2	Bencic B. (9)	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
3	Gauff C. (3)	Mertens E.	2 : 1
4	Cirstea S.	Eala A.	0 : 2
5	Linette M.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
6	Jovic I. (16)	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
8	Tjen J.	Anisimova A. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Ruzic A.	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
2	Gauff C. (3)	Eala A.	2 : 0
3	Tauson C. (12)	Pegula J. (4)	1 : 2
4	Andreeva M. (5)	Anisimova A. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Svitolina E. (7)	Gauff C. (3)	2 : 1
2	Pegula J. (4)	Anisimova A. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Svitolina E. (7)

Pegula J. (4)

0 : 2