Result
1:2
08/08/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Toronto (Canada), hard - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (38/55) | 67% (34/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (12/38) | 41% (17/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 31% (17/55) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (24/41) | 68% (26/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 83% (5/6) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (50/93) | 55% (51/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (41/92) | 46% (43/93) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (91/185) | 51% (94/185) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 52% (15/29) |
Chances of winning
Paula Badosa
62.9% | Jelena Ostapenko
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
|
2.58 ↑
(2.25) |
4.7%
(6.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko?
Users Predictions:
Paula Badosa will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Badosa is ranked WTA: 40. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 11.
- Badosa in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Ostapenko is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Badosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Badosa will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Badosa to win the game is with odds 1.54.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Badosa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Jelena Ostapenko?
Paula Badosa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Paula Badosa?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
17.05.2023
Paula Badosa
-
Jelena Ostapenko
1:2
Latest results of Paula Badosa
Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Wang Y. (Q) | Kenin S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Potapova A. | Frech M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Dart H. (Q) | Shnaider D. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Jabeur O. (9) | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mertens E. | Volynets K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Uchijima M. (Q) | Tomova V. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Samsonova L. (6) | |
| 9 | Pegula J. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Podoroska N. | Pliskova Ka. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Krueger A. (Q) | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Hibino N. | Fernandez L. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Azarenka V. (12) | Pavlyuchenkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Minnen G. (Q) | Stephens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Blinkova A. | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Keys M. (7) | |
| 17 | Navarro E. (8) | Bye | |
| 18 | Linette M. | Marino R. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Rogers S. | Svitolina E. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Maria T. | Kostyuk M. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Yastremska D. (RET.) (16) | Townsend T. (Alt) | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Andreeva E. (Q) | Stakusic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Badosa P. | Tauson C. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (4) | |
| 25 | Kasatkina D. (5) | Bye | |
| 26 | Dolehide C. | Anisimova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Andreescu B. | Tsurenko L. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Chirico L. (Q) | Kalinskaya A. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Haddad Maia B. (13) | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Pera B. (LL) | Boulter K. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Bucsa C. | Yuan Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sabalenka A. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Wang Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Frech M. | Shnaider D. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. | Mertens E. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Uchijima M. | Samsonova L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (3) | Pliskova Ka. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Krueger A. | Fernandez L. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Azarenka V. (12) | Minnen G. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Stearns P. | Keys M. (RET.) (7) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Navarro E. (8) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Svitolina E. | Kostyuk M. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Townsend T. | Stakusic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Badosa P. | Ostapenko J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Kasatkina D. (5) | Anisimova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Tsurenko L. | Kalinskaya A. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Haddad Maia B. (RET.) (13) | Boulter K. | 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Yuan Y. | Sabalenka A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Shnaider D. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mertens E. | Samsonova L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (3) | Krueger A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Azarenka V. (RET.) (12) | Stearns P. | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Navarro E. (8) | Kostyuk M. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Townsend T. | Ostapenko J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Anisimova A. | Kalinskaya A. (RET.) (10) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Boulter K. | Sabalenka A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shnaider D. (14) | Samsonova L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (3) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Navarro E. (8) | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Anisimova A. | Sabalenka A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Shnaider D. (14) | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Navarro E. (8) | Anisimova A. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (3) | Anisimova A. | 2 : 1 |
