Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
1	6
Double Faults
2	9
1st serve percentage
72%	51%
1st serve points won
60% (32/53)	84% (32/38)
2nd serve points won
43% (9/21)	39% (14/36)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)	75% (6/8)
1st return points won
26% (10/38)	42% (22/53)
2nd return points won
61% (22/36)	57% (12/21)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)	40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
54% (40/74)	62% (46/74)
Return Points Won
38% (28/74)	46% (34/74)
Total Points Won
46% (68/148)	54% (80/148)
Last 10 balls
2	8
Match points saved
1	0
Service games won
60% (6/10)	82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)	40% (4/10)
Total games won
38% (8/21)	62% (13/21)

Chances of winning

Katerina Siniakova
51%

Paula Badosa
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katerina Siniakova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)		1.93 ↑ (1.91)	5.4% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Badosa will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siniakova: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Siniakova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Badosa (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 44. Badosa is ranked WTA: 64.
Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Siniakova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siniakova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Katerina Siniakova won against Paula Badosa?

Katerina Siniakova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Katerina Siniakova?

Paula Badosa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa were as follows:

10.02.2025 Paula Badosa - Katerina Siniakova Canceled

Latest results of Katerina Siniakova

10.02.2026 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova 2:1 ✺

09.02.2026 Katerina Siniakova - Clara Tauson 2:0 ✺

21.01.2026 Katerina Siniakova - Amanda Anisimova 0:2 ✺

19.01.2026 Panna Udvardy - Katerina Siniakova 0:2 ✺

14.01.2026 Diana Shnaider - Katerina Siniakova 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Paula Badosa

08.02.2026 Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko Canceled ✺

02.02.2026 Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1:2 ✺

02.02.2026 Paula Badosa - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Canceled ✺

21.01.2026 Oksana Selekhmeteva - Paula Badosa 2:0 ✺

19.01.2026 Zarina Diyas - Paula Badosa 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Bye
2	Maria T.	Birrell K. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Ruzic A. (LL)	Raducanu E.	2 : 1
4	Uchijima M. (Q)	Zakharova A. (LL)	0 : 2
5	Bencic B. (9)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 1
6	Sonmez Z. (WC)	Bejlek S. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Siniakova K.	Badosa P.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
9	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
10	Ostapenko J.	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
11	Bouzkova M.	Mertens E.	0 : 2
12	Ruse G. (Q)	Navarro E. (14)	0 : 2
13	Noskova L. (10)	Li A.	2 : 1
14	Cirstea S.	Sasnovich A. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)	Eala A.	0 : 1
16	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Sun L. (WC)	Linette M.	1 : 2
19	Stearns P. (LL)	Frech M. (LL)	2 : 0
20	Kenin S.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
21	Jovic I. (16)	Rakhimova K. (LL)	2 : 1
22	Shnaider D.	Joint M.	2 : 0
23	Gracheva V. (Q)	Sramkova R. (Q)	2 : 1
24	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Siegemund L.	Kasatkina D.	0 : 2
27	Seidel E. (Q)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
28	Cristian J.	Marcinko P. (LL)	2 : 0
29	Samsonova L. (13)	Fernandez L.	1 : 2
30	Yastremska D.	Tjen J. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Krejcikova B.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Anisimova A. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
2	Ruzic A.	Zakharova A.	2 : 1
3	Bencic B. (WO.) (9)	Bejlek S.
4	Badosa P. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 1
5	Gauff C. (3)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
6	Mertens E.	Navarro E. (14)	2 : 0
7	Noskova L. (10)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
8	Eala A.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Linette M.	1 : 2
10	Stearns P.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
11	Jovic I. (16)	Shnaider D.	2 : 1
12	Gracheva V.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)	Kasatkina D.
14	Seidel E. (RET.)	Cristian J.	0 : 1
15	Fernandez L.	Tjen J.	0 : 2
16	Krejcikova B.	Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

1/8-finals

1	Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)	Ruzic A.	1 : 1
2	Bencic B. (9)	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
3	Gauff C. (3)	Mertens E.	2 : 1
4	Cirstea S.	Eala A.	0 : 2
5	Linette M.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
6	Jovic I. (16)	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
8	Tjen J.	Anisimova A. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Ruzic A.	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
2	Gauff C. (3)	Eala A.	2 : 0
3	Tauson C. (12)	Pegula J. (4)	1 : 2
4	Andreeva M. (5)	Anisimova A. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Svitolina E. (7)	Gauff C. (3)	2 : 1
2	Pegula J. (4)	Anisimova A. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Svitolina E. (7)

Pegula J. (4)

0 : 2