Paula Badosa vs Ludmilla Samsonova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Strasbourg Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova
Result
1:2
22/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Strasbourg, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
61
1st Serve Percentage
63%64%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (38/66)65% (35/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (21/38)58% (18/31)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
35% (19/54)38% (25/66)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (13/31)45% (17/38)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)38% (5/13)
Service Points Won
57% (59/104)62% (53/85)
Return Points Won
38% (32/85)43% (45/104)
Total Points Won
48% (91/189)52% (98/189)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Paula Badosa
56%
Ludmilla Samsonova
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.
  • Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludmilla Samsonova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paula Badosa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludmilla Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.81)

    2.17
    (1.85)
    5.2%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Samsonova will win (votes: 12 - 48%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 32.4%71.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Badosa (votes: 2 - 40%). Samsonova (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Badosa is ranked WTA: 10. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 19.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova were as follows:
    01.08.2024 Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova Samsonova L. retired
    19.02.2023 Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova 1:2
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    20.05.2025 Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova Bouzkova M. retired
    08.05.2025 Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa Canceled
    24.03.2025 Alexandra Eala - Paula Badosa Eala A. walkover
    Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Kalinskaya A.Dolehide C. (Q)2 : 1
    3Collins D.Kenin S.2 : 1
    4Raducanu E.Kasatkina D. (6)2 : 0
    5Badosa P. (3)Bye
    6Cornet A.Bouzkova M. (LL)0 : 2
    7Parry D.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    8Noskova L.Samsonova L. (8)0 : 2
    9Krejcikova B. (7)Linette M.0 : 2
    10Putintseva Y.Sramkova R.0 : 2
    11Wang Xin.Lys E. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeRybakina E. (4)
    13Haddad Maia B. (9)Tauson C.2 : 1
    14Kessler M. (Q)Krueger A.0 : 2
    15Frech M.Blinkova A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    2Collins D.Raducanu E.2 : 1
    3Badosa P. (3)Bouzkova M. (RET.)0 : 0
    4Parry D.Samsonova L. (8)0 : 2
    5Linette M.Sramkova R.2 : 0
    6Wang Xin.Rybakina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Haddad Maia B. (9)Krueger A.2 : 0
    8Blinkova A.Navarro E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kalinskaya A.Collins D. (WO.)
    2Badosa P. (3)Samsonova L. (8)1 : 2
    3Linette M.Rybakina E. (4)0 : 2
    4Haddad Maia B. (9)Navarro E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Collins D.Samsonova L. (8)0 : 2
    2Rybakina E. (4)Haddad Maia B. (9)2 : 1

    Final
    1Samsonova L. (8)Rybakina E. (4)1 : 2