Lulu Sun vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/03/2026 at 18:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
43
1st serve percentage
73%51%
1st serve points won
57% (27/47)73% (27/37)
2nd serve points won
41% (7/17)58% (21/36)
Break Points Saved
2/55/6
1st return points won
41% (15/37)43% (20/47)
2nd return points won
42% (15/36)59% (10/17)
Break Points Converted
1/63/5
Service Points Won
55% (34/62)65% (47/72)
Return Points Won
35% (25/72)45% (28/62)
Total Points Won
44% (59/134)56% (75/134)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Lulu Sun
42.2%
Paula Badosa
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lulu Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.46)

    1.62
    (1.49)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sun is ranked WTA: 100. Badosa is ranked WTA: 106.
    • Sun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Badosa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Badosa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Badosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Lulu Sun - Paula Badosa 0:2
    19.02.2024 Paula Badosa - Lulu Sun Badosa P. retired
    Latest results of Lulu Sun
    10.03.2026 Emma Navarro - Lulu Sun 0:2
    03.03.2026 Lulu Sun - Diane Parry 0:2
    01.03.2026 Lulu Sun - Maddison Inglis 2:0
    15.02.2026 Lulu Sun - Magda Linette 1:2
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Sun L.0 : 2
    2Badosa P. (WC)Ruse G.2 : 1
    3Stefanini L. (Q)Kraus S.0 : 2
    4Yuan Y.Selekhmeteva O. (7)0 : 2
    5Sierra S. (3)Andreescu B. (WC)1 : 2
    6Zarazua R.Blinkova A.2 : 1
    7Inglis M.Jones E. (Q)0 : 2
    8Vekic D.Marcinko P. (8)2 : 0
    9McNally C. (5)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 1
    10Galfi D.Tararudee L. (Q)0 : 2
    11Zakharova A. (Q)Golubic V.2 : 0
    12Fruhvirtova L.Haddad Maia B. (4)2 : 1
    13Birrell K. (6)Seidel E.2 : 0
    14Lamens S.Rakhimova K.1 : 2
    15Sakatsume H. (LL)Juvan K.0 : 2
    16Waltert S.Kessler M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sun L.Badosa P.0 : 2
    2Kraus S.Selekhmeteva O. (7)2 : 1
    3Andreescu B.Zarazua R.2 : 0
    4Jones E.Vekic D.2 : 0
    5McNally C. (5)Tararudee L.1 : 2
    6Zakharova A.Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Birrell K. (6)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    8Juvan K.Kessler M. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Badosa P.Kraus S.2 : 0
    2Andreescu B.Jones E.2 : 1
    3Tararudee L.Zakharova A.2 : 0
    4Birrell K. (6)Kessler M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Badosa P.Andreescu B.1 : 2
    2Tararudee L.Birrell K. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Andreescu B.Tararudee L.1 : 2