Maria Sakkari vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2026 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
1	2
Double Faults
1	4
1st serve percentage
56%	67%
1st serve points won
59% (22/37)	75% (27/36)
2nd serve points won
41% (12/29)	44% (8/18)
Break Points Saved
7/11	0/2
1st return points won
25% (9/36)	41% (15/37)
2nd return points won
56% (10/18)	59% (17/29)
Break Points Converted
2/2	4/11
Service Points Won
51% (33/65)	66% (35/53)
Return Points Won
34% (18/53)	49% (32/65)
Total Points Won
43% (51/118)	57% (67/118)
Last 10 balls
5	5
Match points saved
2	0
Service games won
56% (5/9)	80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)	44% (4/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)	63% (12/19)

Chances of winning

Maria Sakkari
46.6%

Paula Badosa
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.72)		1.78 ↓ (2.1)	5.1% (5.8%)

What is the prediction for Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Maria Sakkari will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 36. Badosa is ranked WTA: 113.
Sakkari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Badosa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Maria Sakkari won against Paula Badosa?

Maria Sakkari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Maria Sakkari?

Paula Badosa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa were as follows:

01.05.2023 Paula Badosa - Maria Sakkari 0:2

Latest results of Maria Sakkari

20.03.2026 Maria Sakkari - Alycia Parks 0:2 ✺

17.03.2026 Julia Grabher - Maria Sakkari Canceled ✺

17.03.2026 Dalma Galfi - Maria Sakkari Canceled ✺

09.03.2026 Maria Sakkari - Iga Swiatek 0:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Maria Sakkari - Lilli Tagger 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Paula Badosa

31.03.2026 Kayla Day - Paula Badosa 0:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Iva Jovic - Paula Badosa 2:0 ✺

19.03.2026 Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Paula Badosa - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 1:2 ✺

12.03.2026 Paula Badosa - Sinja Kraus 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Pegula J. (1)	Bye
2	Putintseva Y.	Sun L.	2 : 0
3	Sherif M.	Yuan Y. (LL)	1 : 2
4	Bye	Cocciaretto E. (14)
5	Fernandez L. (9)	Bye
6	Kudermetova P. (Q)	Oliynykova O.	2 : 1
7	Lys E.	Volynets K.	1 : 2
8	Bye	Shnaider D. (7)
9	Jovic I. (4)	Bye
10	Parks A.	Stoiana M. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Andreescu B. (WC)	Galfi D.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Kenin S. (16)
13	Sakkari M. (10)	Bye
14	Day K. (Q)	Badosa P. (WC)	0 : 2
15	Tomova V. (Q)	Brady J. (WC)	2 : 0
16	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (8)
17	Keys M. (5)	Bye
18	Tomljanovic A.	Vekic D. (Q)	1 : 2
19	Vidmanova D. (LL)	Bondar A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Frech M. (11)
21	Bejlek S. (13)	Bye
22	Sierra S. (RET.)	Urhobo A. (Q)	0 : 1
23	Zakharova A.	Yastremska D.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Bencic B. (3)
25	Stearns P. (17)	Bye
26	Krueger A.	McNally C.	2 : 1
27	Kalieva E. (LL)	Kessler M.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Tjen J. (12)
29	Baptiste H. (15)	Bye
30	Stephens S. (WC)	Zarazua R.	0 : 2
31	Zhang S.	Starodubtseva Y.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Gorgodze E. (LL)

1/16-finals

1	Pegula J. (1)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 1
2	Yuan Y.	Cocciaretto E. (14)	0 : 2
3	Fernandez L. (9)	Kudermetova P.	2 : 0
4	Volynets K.	Shnaider D. (7)	0 : 2
5	Jovic I. (4)	Parks A.	2 : 0
6	Andreescu B.	Kenin S. (16)	0 : 2
7	Sakkari M. (10)	Badosa P.	0 : 2
8	Tomova V.	Kalinskaya A. (8)	0 : 2
9	Keys M. (5)	Vekic D.	2 : 0
10	Bondar A.	Frech M. (11)	2 : 0
11	Bejlek S. (13)	Urhobo A.	2 : 0
12	Yastremska D.	Bencic B. (3)	1 : 2
13	Stearns P. (17)	Krueger A.	2 : 0
14	Kessler M.	Tjen J. (12)	2 : 0
15	Baptiste H. (15)	Zarazua R.	1 : 2
16	Starodubtseva Y.	Gorgodze E. (LL)	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Pegula J. (1)	Cocciaretto E. (14)	2 : 1
2	Fernandez L. (9)	Shnaider D. (7)	0 : 2
3	Jovic I. (4)	Kenin S. (16)	2 : 0
4	Badosa P.	Kalinskaya A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Keys M. (5)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
6	Bejlek S. (13)	Bencic B. (3)	0 : 2
7	Stearns P. (17)	Kessler M.	1 : 2
8	Zarazua R.	Starodubtseva Y.	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Pegula J. (1)	Shnaider D. (7)	2 : 1
2	Jovic I. (4)	Kalinskaya A. (8)	2 : 0
3	Keys M. (5)	Bencic B. (3)	2 : 1
4	Kessler M.	Starodubtseva Y.	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Pegula J. (1)	Jovic I. (4)	2 : 1
2	Keys M. (5)	Starodubtseva Y.	0 : 2

Final

1

Pegula J. (1)

Starodubtseva Y.

2 : 0