Paula Badosa vs Marta Kostyuk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Park (Melbourne).

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
Hungary	Max
Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK

Match Stats


Aces
3	6
Double Faults
3	16
1st Serve Percentage
58%	56%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (41/63)	65% (40/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (24/45)	43% (21/49)
Break Points Saved
76% (13/17)	67% (10/15)
Average 1st Serve Speed
170 km/h	159 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
142 km/h	143 km/h
1st Return Points Won
35% (22/62)	35% (22/63)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (28/49)	47% (21/45)
Break Points Converted
33% (5/15)	24% (4/17)
Winners
33	35
Unforced Errors
48	52
Net Points Won
63% (17/27)	72% (13/18)
Service Points Won
60% (65/108)	55% (61/111)
Return Points Won
45% (50/111)	40% (43/108)
Total Points Won
53% (115/219)	47% (104/219)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)	64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)	27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)	45% (13/29)

Chances of winning

Paula Badosa
66.8%

Marta Kostyuk
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paula Badosa's performance.

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marta Kostyuk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)		2.88 ↑ (2.3)	4.9% (5.2%)

What is the prediction for Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk?

Users Predictions: Paula Badosa will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Badosa is ranked WTA: 12. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 18.
Recent matches Badosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Badosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Badosa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Paula Badosa won against Marta Kostyuk?

Paula Badosa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Paula Badosa?

Marta Kostyuk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk were as follows:

07.07.2023 Marta Kostyuk - Paula Badosa Badosa P. retired

14.05.2023 Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk 2:0

Latest results of Paula Badosa

15.01.2025 Paula Badosa - Talia Gibson 2:0 ✺

12.01.2025 Paula Badosa - Xin Yu Wang 2:0 ✺

08.01.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Paula Badosa 2:1 ✺

06.01.2025 Peyton Stearns - Paula Badosa 1:2 ✺

30.12.2024 Paula Badosa - Elina Avanesyan 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Marta Kostyuk

15.01.2025 Jule Niemeier - Marta Kostyuk 0:2 ✺

13.01.2025 Nao Hibino - Marta Kostyuk 1:2 ✺

07.01.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Ashlyn Krueger 1:2 ✺

01.01.2025 Yue Yuan - Marta Kostyuk 2:0 ✺

09.10.2024 Cori Gauff - Marta Kostyuk 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Stephens S.	2 : 0
2	Kartal S.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
3	Pera B.	Maria T.	0 : 2
4	Tauson C.	Noskova L. (29)	2 : 1
5	Frech M. (23)	Kudermetova P. (Q)	2 : 0
6	Blinkova A.	Saville D. (WC)	2 : 1
7	Uchijima M.	Linette M.	2 : 1
8	Bouzkova M.	Andreeva M. (14)	0 : 2
9	Shnaider D. (12)	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
10	Tomljanovic A. (WC)	Krueger A.	2 : 1
11	Dart H. (LL)	Fett J. (Q)	2 : 1
12	Parry D.	Vekic D. (18)	0 : 2
13	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
14	Zidansek T. (Q)	Potapova A.	0 : 2
15	Siegemund L.	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
16	Todoni A. A. (Q)	Zheng Q. (5)	0 : 2
17	Gauff C. (3)	Kenin S.	2 : 0
18	Jeanjean L. (Q)	Burrage J.	0 : 2
19	Bucsa C.	Paquet C. (WC)	2 : 0
20	Starodubtseva Y.	Fernandez L. (30)	0 : 2
21	Muchova K. (20)	Podoroska N.	2 : 0
22	Osaka N.	Garcia C.	2 : 1
23	Erjavec V. (Q)	Lamens S.	0 : 2
24	Bencic B.	Ostapenko J. (16)	2 : 0
25	Badosa P. (11)	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
26	Sonmez Z.	Gibson T. (WC)	1 : 2
27	Niemeier J.	Chwalinska M. (Q)	2 : 0
28	Hibino N. (Q)	Kostyuk M. (17)	1 : 2
29	Samsonova L. (25)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
30	Rus A.	Danilovic O.	0 : 2
31	Mertens E.	Golubic V. (Q)	2 : 1
32	Joint M. (WC)	Pegula J. (7)	0 : 2
33	Rybakina E. (6)	Jones E. (WC)	2 : 0
34	Parrizas-Diaz N.	Jovic I. (WC)	0 : 2
35	Kovinic D.	Sun L.	2 : 0
36	Sherif M.	Yastremska D. (32)	0 : 2
37	Keys M. (19)	Li A.	2 : 0
38	Begu I.	Ruse G. (Q)	0 : 2
39	Minnen G.	Aiava D. (Q)	1 : 2
40	Snigur D. (Q)	Collins D. (10)	0 : 2
41	Haddad Maia B. (15)	Riera J. (Q)	2 : 1
42	Zheng S.	Andreeva E.	0 : 2
43	Kudermetova V.	Gadecki O.	2 : 0
44	Marino R.	Boulter K. (22)	1 : 2
45	Svitolina E. (28)	Cirstea S.	2 : 0
46	Bejlek S. (Q)	Dolehide C.	0 : 2
47	Townsend T.	Zarazua R.	1 : 2
48	Wei S. (Q)	Paolini J. (4)	0 : 2
49	Navarro E. (8)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
50	Wang Xiy.	Grabher J.	2 : 0
51	Kalinina A.	Jabeur O.	0 : 2
52	Osorio C.	Sakkari M. (31)	2 : 1
53	Putintseva Y. (24)	Avanesyan E.	2 : 1
54	Zhang S. (WC)	Kessler M.	2 : 0
55	Bondar A.	Wang Y.	1 : 2
56	Tomova V.	Kasatkina D. (9)	0 : 2
57	Lys E. (LL)	Birrell K. (Q)	2 : 0
58	Gracheva V.	McNally C.	2 : 0
59	Martic P. (LL)	Cristian J.	1 : 2
60	Bronzetti L.	Azarenka V. (21)	2 : 0
61	Alexandrova E. (26)	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
62	Carle M. L.	Anisimova A.	0 : 2
63	Sramkova R.	Volynets K.	2 : 1
64	Siniakova K.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
2	Maria T.	Tauson C.	0 : 2
3	Frech M. (23)	Blinkova A.	2 : 1
4	Uchijima M.	Andreeva M. (14)	1 : 2
5	Shnaider D. (12)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 0
6	Dart H.	Vekic D. (18)	1 : 2
7	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Potapova A.	2 : 1
8	Siegemund L.	Zheng Q. (5)	2 : 0
9	Gauff C. (3)	Burrage J.	2 : 0
10	Bucsa C.	Fernandez L. (30)	1 : 2
11	Muchova K. (20)	Osaka N.	1 : 2
12	Lamens S.	Bencic B.	0 : 2
13	Badosa P. (11)	Gibson T.	2 : 0
14	Niemeier J.	Kostyuk M. (17)	0 : 2
15	Samsonova L. (25)	Danilovic O.	0 : 2
16	Mertens E.	Pegula J. (7)	0 : 2
17	Rybakina E. (6)	Jovic I.	2 : 0
18	Kovinic D.	Yastremska D. (32)	0 : 2
19	Keys M. (19)	Ruse G.	2 : 1
20	Aiava D.	Collins D. (10)	1 : 2
21	Haddad Maia B. (15)	Andreeva E.	2 : 0
22	Kudermetova V.	Boulter K. (22)	2 : 1
23	Svitolina E. (28)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
24	Zarazua R.	Paolini J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Navarro E. (8)	Wang Xiy.	2 : 1
26	Jabeur O.	Osorio C.	2 : 0
27	Putintseva Y. (24)	Zhang S.	2 : 0
28	Wang Y.	Kasatkina D. (9)	0 : 2
29	Lys E.	Gracheva V.	2 : 1
30	Cristian J.	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
31	Raducanu E.	Anisimova A.	2 : 0
32	Sramkova R.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Tauson C.	2 : 0
2	Frech M. (23)	Andreeva M. (14)	1 : 2
3	Shnaider D. (12)	Vekic D. (18)	1 : 2
4	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Siegemund L.	2 : 0
5	Gauff C. (3)	Fernandez L. (30)	2 : 0
6	Osaka N. (RET.)	Bencic B.	0 : 1
7	Badosa P. (11)	Kostyuk M. (17)	2 : 1
8	Danilovic O.	Pegula J. (7)	2 : 0
9	Rybakina E. (6)	Yastremska D. (32)	2 : 0
10	Keys M. (19)	Collins D. (10)	2 : 0
11	Haddad Maia B. (15)	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
12	Svitolina E. (28)	Paolini J. (4)	2 : 1
13	Navarro E. (8)	Jabeur O.	2 : 1
14	Putintseva Y. (24)	Kasatkina D. (9)	0 : 2
15	Lys E.	Cristian J.	2 : 1
16	Raducanu E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Andreeva M. (14)	2 : 0
2	Vekic D. (18)	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	0 : 2
3	Gauff C. (3)	Bencic B.	2 : 1
4	Badosa P. (11)	Danilovic O.	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (6)	Keys M. (19)	1 : 2
6	Kudermetova V.	Svitolina E. (28)	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (8)	Kasatkina D. (9)	2 : 1
8	Lys E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	2 : 1
2	Gauff C. (3)	Badosa P. (11)	0 : 2
3	Keys M. (19)	Svitolina E. (28)	2 : 1
4	Navarro E. (8)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Badosa P. (11)	2 : 0
2	Keys M. (19)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Keys M. (19)

1 : 2