União Barbarense vs Paulista – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 União Barbarense - Paulista
Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 🟥,
  • 63', 1 - 0, ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


União Barbarense
32.2%
Draw
39.6%
Paulista
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 28.6% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 28.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paulista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paulista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • União Barbarense - Paulista Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.6)
    2.3
    (3.25)
    3.24
    (2.6)
    9.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • União Barbarense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Paulista is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paulista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches União Barbarense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União Barbarense - Paulista were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Paulista - União Barbarense 0:1
    15.02.2025 Paulista - União Barbarense 1:2
    Latest results of União Barbarense
    Latest results of Paulista
    19.04.2025 Paulista - Nacional SP 3:0
    12.04.2025 Nacional SP - Paulista 1:1
    05.04.2025 Joseense - Paulista 0:2
    29.03.2025 Paulista - Joseense 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0