União Barbarense vs Paulista – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 🟥,
  • 63', 1 - 0, ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


União Barbarense
32.2%
Draw
39.6%
Paulista
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 28.6% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 28.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paulista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paulista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • União Barbarense - Paulista Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.6)
    2.3
    (3.25)
    3.24
    (2.6)
    9.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • União Barbarense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Paulista is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paulista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches União Barbarense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União Barbarense - Paulista were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Paulista - União Barbarense 0:1
    15.02.2025 Paulista - União Barbarense 1:2
    Latest results of União Barbarense
    Latest results of Paulista
    19.04.2025 Paulista - Nacional SP 3:0
    12.04.2025 Nacional SP - Paulista 1:1
    05.04.2025 Joseense - Paulista 0:2
    29.03.2025 Paulista - Joseense 2:2
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro861116:41219
    2Lemense861111:3819
    3Barretos EC85307:2518
    4Penapolense851210:7316
    5Jacarei FC85128:5316
    6Sao-Carlense843112:7515
    7Sao Caetano842210:6414
    8Taquaritinga841311:6513
    9Tanabi83327:4312
    10ECUS SP81524:5-18
    11Vocem80623:5-26
    12Jabaquara81253:10-75
    13Comercial81166:11-54
    14AEA Aracatuba81163:17-144
    15Colorado Caieiras80442:8-64
    16Nacional SP80170:13-131

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B