Paulistano vs Minas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
104:83
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Marques Inchauspe R. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7662
Field goals made
3830
Field goals %
50%48.39%
2-point field goals attempts
4639
2-point field goals made
2622
2-point field goals %
56.52%56.41%
3-point field goals attempts
3023
3-point field goals made
128
3-point field goals %
40%34.78%
Free throws attempts
2126
Free throws made
1615
Free throws %
76.2%57.7%
Offensive rebounds
1610
Defensive rebounds
2623
Total rebounds
4233
Assists
1516
Blocks
14
Turnovers
1316
Steals
126
Personal fouls
2019

Chances of winning


Paulistano
41.2%
Minas
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 59.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minas than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Paulistano - Minas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.04)

    1.6
    (1.65)
    7.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 165.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Paulistano - Minas?
  • Users Predictions: Paulistano will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paulistano will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 82:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Paulistano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Paulistano has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Paulistano will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1482:1619. (average 74.1:81).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paulistano won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 679:710. (average 75.4:78.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paulistano - Minas were as follows:
    18.11.2025 Minas - Paulistano 94:63
    14.04.2025 Paulistano - Minas 66:76
    20.12.2024 Minas - Paulistano 86:82
    11.03.2024 Minas - Paulistano 72:70
    25.11.2023 Paulistano - Minas 71:86
    Latest results of Paulistano
    19.02.2026 Pinheiros - Paulistano 80:68
    13.02.2026 Caxias do Sul - Paulistano 80:73
    07.02.2026 Paulistano - Osasco 86:73
    03.02.2026 Franca - Paulistano 89:91
    Latest results of Minas
    19.02.2026 Minas - Rio Claro 98:95
    17.02.2026 Minas - Brasília Basquete 92:91
    12.02.2026 Franca - Minas 100:82
    10.02.2026 Bauru - Minas 105:90
    06.02.2026 Minas - Boca Juniors 67:77
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Franca (1)Botafogo (16)3 : 0
    2Sao Jose (8)Mogi (9)0 : 3
    3Brasilia (4)Caxias do Sul (13)2 : 1
    4Flamengo (5)Uniao Corinthians (12)2 : 1
    5Pinheiros (2)Rio Claro (15)3 : 0
    6Paulistano (7)Bauru (10)2 : 1
    7Minas (3)Cruzeiro (14)2 : 1
    8Corinthians Paulista (6)Unifacisa (11)2 : 1