Result
2:1
09/04/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (51/67) | 59% (46/78) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 60% (24/40) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 64% (9/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (32/78) | 24% (16/67) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 58% (22/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 50% (4/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (67/105) | 59% (70/118) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (48/118) | 36% (38/105) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (115/223) | 48% (108/223) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 47% (16/34) |
Chances of winning
Pavel Kotov
58.2% | Alejandro Moro Canas
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.5) |
|
2.21 ↓
(2.45) |
7.9%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Kotov is ranked ATP: 124. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 156.
- One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
- Moro Canas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavel Kotov won against Alejandro Moro Canas?
Pavel Kotov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Moro Canas won against Pavel Kotov?
Alejandro Moro Canas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas were as follows:
Latest results of Pavel Kotov
Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
