Pavel Kotov vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Lyon Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik
Result
1:2
23/05/2024 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Concas R. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFrancebeIN Sports
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3

Match Stats

Aces
311
Double Faults
28
1st Serve Percentage
69%65%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (47/80)70% (62/89)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (21/36)46% (22/48)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)76% (13/17)
1st Return Points Won
31% (28/89)43% (34/80)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (26/48)42% (15/36)
Break Points Converted
24% (4/17)63% (5/8)
Winners
3832
Unforced Errors
2419
Net Points Won
54% (19/35)64% (16/25)
Max Points In Row
612
Service Points Won
58% (67/115)61% (83/136)
Return Points Won
39% (53/136)42% (48/115)
Total Points Won
48% (120/251)52% (131/251)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)76% (13/17)
Return Games Won
24% (4/17)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Pavel Kotov
55.4%
Alexander Bublik
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.65)

    2.15
    (2.23)
    4.4%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Bublik will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 49.1%82.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Humbert U. (1)Bye
    2Koepfer D.Barranco Cosano J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Seyboth Wild T.Martinez P.2 : 0
    4Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Q)Etcheverry T. M. (6)1 : 2
    5Mannarino A. (3)Bye
    6Darderi L.Daniel T. (Q)2 : 0
    7Evans D.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    8Munar J.Tiafoe F. (5)0 : 2
    9Fanselow S. (LL)Nishioka Y.0 : 2
    10Mpetshi Perricard G. (WC)Sonego L.2 : 0
    11Gaston H. (Q)Galan D. E. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeCerundolo F. (4)
    13Cachin P. (LL)Kotov P.0 : 2
    14Muller A. (WC)Gasquet R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Vukic A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    16ByeBublik A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Humbert U. (1)Koepfer D.1 : 2
    2Seyboth Wild T. (RET.)Etcheverry T. M. (6)0 : 1
    3Mannarino A. (3)Darderi L.0 : 2
    4Rinderknech A.Tiafoe F. (5)2 : 0
    5Nishioka Y.Mpetshi Perricard G. (WO.)
    6Gaston H.Cerundolo F. (4)2 : 1
    7Kotov P.Muller A.2 : 0
    8Vukic A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Koepfer D.Etcheverry T. M. (6)0 : 2
    2Darderi L. (WO.)Rinderknech A.
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Gaston H.2 : 1
    4Kotov P.Bublik A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Etcheverry T. M. (6)Darderi L.2 : 0
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Etcheverry T. M. (6)Mpetshi Perricard G.1 : 2