Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 49% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 78% (43/55) | 76% (31/41) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 74% (31/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 3/5 | 2/3 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 24% (10/41) | 22% (12/55) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 26% (11/42) | 39% (13/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/3 | 2/5 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (63/88) | 75% (62/83) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (21/83) | 28% (25/88) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (84/171) | 51% (87/171) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 93% (13/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 52% (15/29) |
Chances of winning
Pavel Kotov
62.6% | Ilia Simakin
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilia Simakin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-18.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+18.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilia Simakin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.84) |
|
2.51 ↑
(1.84) |
6.5%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Simakin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Kotov is ranked ATP: 299. Simakin is ranked ATP: 221.
- Kotov is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Simakin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kotov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kotov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavel Kotov won against Ilia Simakin?
Pavel Kotov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilia Simakin won against Pavel Kotov?
Ilia Simakin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin were as follows:
Latest results of Pavel Kotov
Latest results of Ilia Simakin
