Jozef Kovalik vs Pavel Kotov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/02/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
46
Double Faults
61
1st Serve Percentage
58%75%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (38/56)63% (57/91)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (17/40)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)78% (14/18)
1st Return Points Won
38% (35/91)32% (18/56)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (16/31)58% (23/40)
Break Points Converted
22% (4/18)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
58% (55/95)59% (72/122)
Return Points Won
41% (50/122)42% (40/95)
Total Points Won
48% (105/217)52% (112/217)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Jozef Kovalik
37.3%
Pavel Kotov
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 58%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.
  • Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Kotov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.16)

    1.49
    (1.7)
    6.9%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovalik is ranked ATP: 125. Kotov is ranked ATP: 103.
    • Kovalik has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Kotov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Kotov will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov were as follows:
    22.07.2023 Pavel Kotov - Jozef Kovalik 1:2
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0