Result
2:0
09/10/2025 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 49% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 84% (31/37) | 68% (23/34) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 42% (15/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 16% (6/37) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (21/36) | 21% (3/14) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 82% (42/51) | 55% (36/66) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (30/66) | 18% (9/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (72/117) | 38% (45/117) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Chances of winning
Mackenzie McDonald
65.2% | Pavel Kotov
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43
(1.43) |
|
2.7 ↑
(2.67) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- McDonald is ranked ATP: 99. Kotov is ranked ATP: 485.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, McDonald is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mackenzie McDonald won against Pavel Kotov?
Mackenzie McDonald has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavel Kotov won against Mackenzie McDonald?
Pavel Kotov has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov were as follows:
18.03.2025
Pavel Kotov
-
Mackenzie McDonald
0:2
Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
Latest results of Pavel Kotov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | O'Connell C. (RET.) | Draxl L. | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. (Q) | Hijikata R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhou Y. (WC) | Schoolkate T. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (4) | Tomic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Watanuki Y. | Harris B. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Jacquet K. (Q) | Samrej K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | McCabe J. (Alt) | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Duckworth J. (8) | Smith C. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Droguet T. | Cui J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bar Biryukov P. (Q) | Daniel T. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Wong C. | Djere L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | McDonald M. (6) | Mayot H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kotov P. (Q) | Holmgren A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Holt B. | Zhukov M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Sun F. (WC) | Walton A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Draxl L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hijikata R. | Zhou Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tomic B. | Harris B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jacquet K. | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Smith C. | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bar Biryukov P. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | McDonald M. (6) | Kotov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Holt B. | Walton A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Zhou Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tomic B. | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Smith C. | Bar Biryukov P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | McDonald M. (6) | Holt B. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Mochizuki S. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bar Biryukov P. | McDonald M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | McDonald M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
