Result
0:2
01/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 72% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (31/46) | 81% (26/32) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 63% (15/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 33% (15/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 61% (11/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 43% (3/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (38/64) | 73% (41/56) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (15/56) | 41% (26/64) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (53/120) | 56% (67/120) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Pavel Kotov
53.8% | Mattia Bellucci
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.1) |
|
2.04 ↑
(1.73) |
5.7%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 62.1% – 93.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Kotov is ranked ATP: 102. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 72.
- Recent matches Kotov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bellucci has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
How many head-to-head matches has Pavel Kotov won against Mattia Bellucci?
Pavel Kotov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Pavel Kotov?
Mattia Bellucci has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
14.03.2023
Pavel Kotov
-
Mattia Bellucci
2:0
Latest results of Pavel Kotov
Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Bennani R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bennani K. (WC) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Moutet C. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Baadi T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rocha H. (Q) | Trungelliti M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cerundolo J. M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kopriva V. (6) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Cina F. (NG) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jodar R. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (4) | |
| 13 | Buse I. (7) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Skatov T. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | van Assche L. | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bennani K. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Moutet C. (3) | Baadi T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kopriva V. (6) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Machac T. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Buse I. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | van Assche L. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (WO.) (1) | Hanfmann Y. (8) | |
| 2 | Moutet C. (3) | Trungelliti M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Muller A. (RET.) | Jodar R. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | van Assche L. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
