Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (60/93) | 68% (56/82) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 53% (21/40) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (26/82) | 35% (33/93) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 50% (20/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 31% (4/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (56/102) | 63% (46/73) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (27/73) | 45% (46/102) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (83/175) | 53% (92/175) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 36% (4/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 62% (13/21) |
Chances of winning
Pavel Kotov
66.7% | Norbert Gombos
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Norbert Gombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Pavel Kotov - Norbert Gombos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.36) |
|
2.93 ↑
(2.49) |
4.6%
(13.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Norbert Gombos?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Gombos will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gombos: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gombos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Kotov is ranked ATP: 124. Gombos is ranked ATP: 397.
- Recent matches Kotov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Gombos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Gombos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
How many head-to-head matches has Pavel Kotov won against Norbert Gombos?
Pavel Kotov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norbert Gombos won against Pavel Kotov?
Norbert Gombos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Norbert Gombos were as follows:
Latest results of Pavel Kotov
Latest results of Norbert Gombos
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
