Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pavel Kotov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov
Result
1:2
24/09/2024 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
68%59%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (51/72)76% (52/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (15/34)47% (22/47)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
25% (17/68)29% (21/72)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (25/47)56% (19/34)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)38% (3/8)
Winners
2042
Unforced Errors
3365
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)94% (16/17)
Max Points In Row
75
Service Points Won
62% (66/106)64% (72/113)
Return Points Won
36% (41/113)38% (40/106)
Total Points Won
49% (107/219)51% (112/219)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
45%
Pavel Kotov
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roberto Carballes Baena's performance.
  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.36)

    1.7
    (1.54)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Kotov will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 53. Kotov is ranked ATP: 63.
    • Carballes Baena is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kotov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Pavel Kotov - Roberto Carballes Baena 0:2
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (8)

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)TBD #2