Pavel Kotov vs Sebastian Ofner – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Barcelona Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner
Result
1:2
15/04/2024 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
63%55%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (34/55)83% (38/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)53% (20/38)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (12/46)40% (22/55)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (18/38)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)42% (5/12)
Max Points In Row
612
Service Points Won
56% (48/86)69% (58/84)
Return Points Won
31% (26/84)44% (38/86)
Total Points Won
44% (74/170)56% (96/170)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
41% (12/29)59% (17/29)

Chances of winning


Pavel Kotov
51.9%
Sebastian Ofner
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.73)

    1.98
    (2.09)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Ofner will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 42%87.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner were as follows:
    25.08.2022 Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner 2:0
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2