Pavel Kotov vs Sebastian Ofner – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/04/2024 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
63%55%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (34/55)83% (38/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)53% (20/38)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (12/46)40% (22/55)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (18/38)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)42% (5/12)
Max Points In Row
612
Service Points Won
56% (48/86)69% (58/84)
Return Points Won
31% (26/84)44% (38/86)
Total Points Won
44% (74/170)56% (96/170)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
41% (12/29)59% (17/29)

Chances of winning


Pavel Kotov
51.9%
Sebastian Ofner
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.73)

    1.98
    (2.09)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Ofner will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 42%87.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner were as follows:
    25.08.2022 Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner 2:0
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2