Yosuke Watanuki vs Pavel Kotov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/02/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
45%69%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (18/25)82% (28/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (14/31)60% (9/15)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
18% (6/34)28% (7/25)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (6/15)55% (17/31)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
57% (32/56)76% (37/49)
Return Points Won
24% (12/49)43% (24/56)
Total Points Won
42% (44/105)58% (61/105)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Yosuke Watanuki
63.4%
Pavel Kotov
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.
  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavel Kotov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yosuke Watanuki - Pavel Kotov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.75)

    2.56
    (2)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Watanuki is ranked ATP: 336. Kotov is ranked ATP: 102.
    • Recent matches Watanuki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kotov is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Watanuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Watanuki will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Watanuki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yosuke Watanuki - Pavel Kotov were as follows:
    03.10.2024 Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki 1:2
    25.04.2023 Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki 1:0
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2