Yaroslav Demin vs Pavel Lagutin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Manacor 3, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
33

Chances of winning


Yaroslav Demin
58.3%
Pavel Lagutin
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Pavel Lagutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Yaroslav Demin - Pavel Lagutin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.61)

    2.23
    (2.14)
    7.6%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Demin is ranked ATP: 771. Lagutin is ranked ATP: 878.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Demin could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Demin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yaroslav Demin - Pavel Lagutin were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Pavel Lagutin - Yaroslav Demin 0:2
    Latest results of Yaroslav Demin
    Latest results of Pavel Lagutin
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Rincon D. (1)Hernandez C.2 : 0
    2Young G.Flores Avila L. A.2 : 0
    3Choi W. F.Demin Y.0 : 2
    4Kim D. J.Callejon H. S. (6)2 : 0
    5Malige M. (3)Lagutin P.0 : 2
    6Loosen T.Pleshivtsev E.0 : 2
    7Azoidis D.Gutierrez O. J.2 : 0
    8Peck J.Deckers A. (8)0 : 2
    9Loge J. (5)Rejchtman Vinciguerra W.2 : 0
    10Walters M.Leather J.1 : 2
    11Efstathiou M.Chelemen M. V.2 : 0
    12Palomar X.Fellin P. O. (4)0 : 2
    13Sultanov K. (7)Ivanov I.0 : 2
    14Lopez Morillo I.Omarkhanov A.0 : 2
    15Castagnola L.Spiridon D. C. (RET.)1 : 1
    16Almazan Valiente I.Basing M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rincon D. (1)Young G.0 : 2
    2Demin Y.Kim D. J.2 : 0
    3Lagutin P.Pleshivtsev E.2 : 0
    4Azoidis D.Deckers A. (8)2 : 1
    5Loge J. (5)Leather J.2 : 0
    6Efstathiou M.Fellin P. O. (4)2 : 1
    7Ivanov I.Omarkhanov A.2 : 1
    8Castagnola L.Basing M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Young G.Demin Y.1 : 2
    2Lagutin P.Azoidis D.2 : 0
    3Loge J. (5)Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    4Ivanov I.Basing M. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Demin Y.Lagutin P.2 : 1
    2Loge J. (5)Ivanov I.0 : 2

    Final
    1Demin Y.Ivanov I.2 : 0