Result
3:1
02/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Quaggio A. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Palma A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 1, Bolis T. ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 1, Comelli S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leon
50.7% | Draw
26.3% | Pavia
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Leon - Pavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.76) |
3.48 ↑
(3.48) |
3.96 ↓
(4.1) |
9.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Leon is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Leon will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Leon won against Pavia?
Leon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Leon?
Pavia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leon - Pavia were as follows:
23.11.2025
Pavia
-
Leon
1:2
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 51:22 | 29 | 64 |
| 2 | Chievo | 31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leon | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49:34 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Oltrepo | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 40 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Pavia | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Varesina | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:58 | -30 | 25 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 19:58 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
