Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pavia
38.4% | Draw
27.9% | Leon
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Pavia aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Pavia - Leon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.32) |
3.25
(3.25) |
2.69 ↑
(2.68) |
10.4%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Leon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Leon?
Pavia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leon won against Pavia?
Leon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavia - Leon were as follows:
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
