Result
3:1
02/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Quaggio A. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Palma A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 1, Bolis T. ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 1, Comelli S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leon
50.7% | Draw
26.3% | Pavia
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Leon - Pavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.76) |
3.48 ↑
(3.48) |
3.96 ↓
(4.1) |
9.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Leon is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Leon will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Leon won against Pavia?
Leon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Leon?
Pavia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leon - Pavia were as follows:
23.11.2025
Pavia
-
Leon
1:2
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 25 | 56 |
| 5 | Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 2 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 10 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 2 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | -6 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | -27 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -59 | -17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
