Pavia vs Vogherese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
15/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Pavia
40.6%
Draw
27.9%
Vogherese
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 27.5% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 26.8% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavia's performance.
  • Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vogherese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vogherese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pavia - Vogherese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.54)
    3.29
    (3.28)
    2.92
    (2.44)
    9%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Pavia
    09.11.2025 Castellanzese - Pavia 0:0
    02.11.2025 Pavia - Villa Valle 4:0
    26.10.2025 Varesina - Pavia 2:2
    22.10.2025 Pavia - Piacenza 1:2
    12.10.2025 Brusaporto - Pavia 3:1
    Latest results of Vogherese
    09.11.2025 Vogherese - Leon 1:3
    02.11.2025 Scanzorosciate - Vogherese 0:0
    26.10.2025 Vogherese - Castellanzese 0:1
    19.10.2025 Vogherese - Villa Valle 1:0
    12.10.2025 Varesina - Vogherese 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese26158342:192353
    2USD Casatese261013337:251243
    3Villa Valle26134937:34343
    4Chievo26134937:35243
    5AC Milan U2326126841:301142
    6Brusaporto26126832:26642
    7Leon26109733:26739
    8Oltrepo26117829:26337
    9Scanzorosciate26812629:25436
    10Ciserano-Bergamo2699821:21036
    11Castellanzese2698933:27635
    12Caldiero Terme26811734:29535
    13Real Calepina26961135:35033
    14Breno26781131:38-729
    15Varesina264121027:34-724
    16Pavia26591227:41-1424
    17Sondrio26541722:52-3019
    18Vogherese26281615:39-248

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation