Pavle Marinkov vs Finn Bass – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 18:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
717
Double Faults
47
1st Serve Percentage
57%61%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (26/38)84% (43/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (16/29)38% (12/32)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
20% (10/51)32% (12/38)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (20/32)45% (13/29)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)67% (4/6)
Winners
1838
Unforced Errors
2631
Net Points Won
50% (2/4)56% (9/16)
Service Points Won
62% (42/68)66% (55/83)
Return Points Won
34% (28/83)38% (26/68)
Total Points Won
46% (70/151)54% (81/151)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Pavle Marinkov
66.6%
Finn Bass
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavle Marinkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Finn Bass has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavle Marinkov than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Bass than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Pavle Marinkov - Finn Bass Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.5)

    2.79
    (2.42)
    7.6%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Marinkov is ranked ATP: 592. Bass is ranked ATP: 981.
    • In recent matches, Marinkov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bass has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marinkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marinkov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Pavle Marinkov
    Latest results of Finn Bass
    22.11.2025 Finn Bass - Shinji Hazawa 2:1
    15.11.2025 Jake Delaney - Finn Bass 2:0
    09.11.2025 Finn Bass - Emile Hudd 0:2
    29.10.2025 Duje Markovina - Finn Bass 2:1
    21.10.2025 Dane Sweeny - Finn Bass 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Imamura M. (LL)2 : 0
    2Singh K.Isomura K.2 : 1
    3Moriya H.Langmo C.2 : 0
    4Delaney Ja. (WC)Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    5Tomic B. (3)Gengel M.2 : 0
    6Hewitt C. (WC)Sekulic P.0 : 2
    7Matsuda R. (Q)Shiraishi H.1 : 2
    8Bass F. (Q)Sweeny D. (7)1 : 2
    9Kubler J. (5)Tu L.2 : 0
    10Dellavedova M.Overbeck C. E. (Q)1 : 2
    11Marinkov P. (LL)Ellis B.2 : 1
    12Bouzige M.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (6)Bicknell B. (Q)2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H. (SE)Polmans M.1 : 2
    15Sach T. (WC)Wu Tung-Lin (Q)2 : 1
    16Kumasaka T.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Singh K.2 : 0
    2Moriya H.Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    3Tomic B. (3)Sekulic P.1 : 2
    4Shiraishi H.Sweeny D. (7)0 : 2
    5Kubler J. (RET.) (5)Overbeck C. E.0 : 1
    6Marinkov P.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    7McCabe J. (6)Polmans M.2 : 0
    8Sach T.Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Noguchi R. (8)2 : 0
    2Sekulic P.Sweeny D. (7)0 : 2
    3Overbeck C. E.Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4McCabe J. (6)Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Sweeny D. (7)1 : 2
    2Bolt A. (4)Hijikata R. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sweeny D. (7)Hijikata R. (2)1 : 2