Paysandu vs Independência – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Norte - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
13
Total shots
76
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 45+8', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
85%
Draw
9.8%
Independência
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.6% 17.2% 7.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Paysandu - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.05
    (1.23)
    9.1
    (5.4)
    17.24
    (12.9)
    11.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for Paysandu - Independência?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paysandu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independência has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Paysandu is the clear favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Paysandu
    12.04.2026 Paysandu - Brusque 1:1
    09.04.2026 Nacional AM - Paysandu 7:0
    05.04.2026 Volta Redonda - Paysandu 0:1
    17.03.2026 Portuguesa - Paysandu 2:3
    Latest results of Independência
    12.04.2026 Independência - Humaitá 3:0
    08.04.2026 Trem - Independência 4:0
    04.04.2026 Guaporé - Independência 0:0
    25.03.2026 Independência - Guaporé 0:0
    Brazilian Copa Norte Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM ✔ 431012:11110
    2Guapore42114:407
    3Trem420211:836
    4Paysandu PA42025:10-56
    5GAS41038:12-43
    6Independencia40221:6-52


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba ✔ 440011:5612
    2Porto Velho43019:459
    3Amazonas42027:436
    4Remo41124:5-14
    5Galvez41038:15-73
    6Monte Roraima40137:13-61

          Promotion ~ Copa Norte (Play Offs: Semi~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Nacional-AM is Qualified for Copa Norte (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Aguia De Maraba is Qualified for Copa Norte (Play Offs Semi~finals)