Paysandu vs Tuna Luso Brasileira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
19/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paraense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
81
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
104
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', larley 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Paulo Rangel (Penalty Awarded),
  • 23', Amaral 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Kleiton (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Italo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Paulinho , Leo Caete ,
  • 49', 3 - 1, larley ,
  • 60', Henrico , Caio Mello ,
  • 60', Bilau , Emerson Nike ,
  • 60', Alves J. , Otavio ,
  • 64', 4 - 1, Italo ,
  • 67', Kaue , Filipe Trindade ,
  • 70', Kleiton 🟨,
  • 72', Marcinho , JP Galvao ,
  • 72', Thayllon , Thalyson ,
  • 72', Kleiton , Kaua Hinkel ,
  • 75', Emerson Nike 🟨,
  • 83', Italo , Angelo M. ,
  • 83', Afonso F. , Adauto Junior ,
  • 86', 5 - 1, Henrique P. ,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
52.7%
Draw
28.1%
Tuna Luso Brasileira
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 24.4% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 23.7% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.
  • Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.52)
    3.26
    (3.75)
    4.76
    (5.93)
    9.1%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3.
    • Paysandu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tuna Luso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paysandu is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Tuna Luso Brasileira - Paysandu 1:0
    28.01.2025 Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira 2:1
    15.01.2024 Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira 2:1
    19.04.2023 Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira 1:1
    16.04.2023 Tuna Luso Brasileira - Paysandu 1:4
    Latest results of Paysandu
    15.02.2026 Santa Rosa - Paysandu 0:2
    08.02.2026 Paysandu - Remo 1:1
    01.02.2026 Paysandu - Capitão Poço 1:0
    Latest results of Tuna Luso Brasileira
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Cameta (1)Santa Rosa (8)2 : 0
    2Aguia De Maraba (4)Remo (5)1 : 2
    3Paysandu PA (3)Tuna Luso (6)5 : 1
    4Capitao Poco (2)Castanhal (7)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cameta (1)Remo (5)2 : 3
    2Paysandu PA (3)Castanhal (7)1 : 0

    Final
    1Remo (5)Paysandu PA (3)1 : 2