Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Pedro Araujo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Setubal Men Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pedro Araujo
Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
55

Chances of winning


Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
45.2%
Pedro Araujo
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's performance.
  • Pedro Araujo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Araujo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mario Gonzalez Fernandez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Araujo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Araujo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pedro Araujo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.33)

    1.76
    (1.55)
    3.8%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 721. Araujo is ranked ATP: 474.
    • Gonzalez Fernandez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Araujo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Araujo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Araujo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gonzalez Fernandez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pedro Araujo were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Pedro Araujo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 2:0
    Latest results of Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
    Latest results of Pedro Araujo
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Maxted L.2 : 1
    2Fanselow S.Schoen P.2 : 0
    3Graca J.Marques D.2 : 0
    4Lopez Escribano A.Hernandez A. (5)1 : 2
    5Blanch D. (4)Cacao T.2 : 1
    6Rocha F.Valdoleiros G.2 : 0
    7Xilas I.Torres T.2 : 0
    8Gonzalez Fernandez M.Araujo P. (7)2 : 1
    9Thanos A. (6)Seeman J.2 : 0
    10Zhu M.Kravchenko G.1 : 2
    11Deckers A.Curras Abasolo T.2 : 0
    12Thomson C.Hussey G. (3)2 : 0
    13Barroso Campos A. (8)Luis T.2 : 1
    14Hernandez C.Izquierdo Luque R.0 : 2
    15Batista D.Aunion P.2 : 1
    16Forcano I.Searle H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Fanselow S.2 : 1
    2Graca J.Hernandez A. (5)0 : 2
    3Blanch D. (4)Rocha F.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Gonzalez Fernandez M.0 : 2
    5Thanos A. (6)Kravchenko G.2 : 0
    6Deckers A.Thomson C.2 : 0
    7Barroso Campos A. (8)Izquierdo Luque R.0 : 2
    8Batista D.Searle H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Hernandez A. (5)2 : 0
    2Blanch D. (4)Gonzalez Fernandez M.0 : 2
    3Thanos A. (6)Deckers A.1 : 2
    4Izquierdo Luque R.Searle H. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Gonzalez Fernandez M.1 : 2
    2Deckers A.Izquierdo Luque R.2 : 1

    Final
    1Gonzalez Fernandez M.Deckers A.1 : 2